Improved non-coverage annual average daily traffic estimation using openly available infrastructure data

Accurate annual average daily traffic (AADT) estimation underpins infrastructure planning, environmental assessment, and safety analysis; however, coverage gaps persist in areas with scarce continuous counters. We propose a data-fusion framework that imputes missing AADT values by integrating crash records, clean energy infrastructure metadata, and roadway features. We evaluate a diverse set of machine learning families for tabular regression, including tree ensembles (random forest, gradient boosting), linear and regularized regression baselines, k -nearest neighbors, and shallow neural networks, and compare them against a stacked ensemble that learns to combine base-model predictions. Models are trained using an AutoML framework to standardize preprocessing, validation, and ensembling. Across traffic-only, energy-only, and hybrid feature sets, the stacked ensemble consistently achieves the lowest prediction error and remains robust across low-, medium-, and high-volume traffic regimes. On the combined feature set, the model achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of approximately 570 vehicles/day, a root mean squared error (RMSE) of approximately 1415 vehicles/day, a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) value of 3.73, and an R 2 value close to 0.99 under cross-validation evaluation. These results demonstrate that principled ensembling and multi-source data fusion substantially improve AADT imputation performance, particularly in data-limited settings such as uncounted or sparsely monitored roadways.

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Publication Details

Journal
Digital engineering.
Published
2026-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dte.2026.100113
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Improved non-coverage annual average daily traffic estimation using openly available infrastructure data

Gurcan Comert, Negash Begashaw, Justice Adjei Owusu, Ayobami Abiodun Taiwo et al.
Digital engineering.
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

Improved non-coverage annual average daily traffic estimation using openly available infrastructure data

Gurcan Comert, Negash Begashaw, Justice Adjei Owusu, Ayobami Abiodun Taiwo, Bariat Shuaib
article en

Abstract

Accurate annual average daily traffic (AADT) estimation underpins infrastructure planning, environmental assessment, and safety analysis; however, coverage gaps persist in areas with scarce continuous counters. We propose a data-fusion framework that imputes missing AADT values by integrating crash records, clean energy infrastructure metadata, and roadway features. We evaluate a diverse set of machine learning families for tabular regression, including tree ensembles (random forest, gradient boosting), linear and regularized regression baselines, k -nearest neighbors, and shallow neural networks, and compare them against a stacked ensemble that learns to combine base-model predictions. Models are trained using an AutoML framework to standardize preprocessing, validation, and ensembling. Across traffic-only, energy-only, and hybrid feature sets, the stacked ensemble consistently achieves the lowest prediction error and remains robust across low-, medium-, and high-volume traffic regimes. On the combined feature set, the model achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of approximately 570 vehicles/day, a root mean squared error (RMSE) of approximately 1415 vehicles/day, a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) value of 3.73, and an R 2 value close to 0.99 under cross-validation evaluation. These results demonstrate that principled ensembling and multi-source data fusion substantially improve AADT imputation performance, particularly in data-limited settings such as uncounted or sparsely monitored roadways.

Digital engineering.Vol. 10
Benedict College (US), North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University (US)
National Science Foundation
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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Improved non-coverage annual average daily traffic estimation using openly available infrastructure data — Gurcan Comert, Negash Begashaw, et al. · Digital engineering. (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS