Bounded Rationality in Career Choices: How Cognitive Biases Appear in Adolescent Career Exploration

Adolescents face high-stakes career decisions under uncertainty. Yet, while bounded rationality research has established that cognitive biases can systematically distort human judgement and decision-making, we know little about how these biases appear in adolescent career exploration. This pragmatic, mixed-methods study investigated how cognitive biases appear in career decision-making among 21 Australian high school students aged 15–18. Students participated in semi-structured interviews exploring their career decision-making approaches, followed by a quantitative survey assessing bias tendencies. Content analysis revealed several cognitive bias patterns: confirmation bias appeared as selective information seeking, availability bias emerged as choosing familiar careers, and varying levels of confidence and sunk-cost fallacy were observed. These findings highlight how biased thinking patterns can appear in adolescent career choices while acknowledging their potential benefits and limitations. Schools may benefit from incorporating bias-awareness activities into career education programs and teaching structured decision-making frameworks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Career Development
Published
2026-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/08948453261444268
Primary Topic
Career Development and Diversity
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Bounded Rationality in Career Choices: How Cognitive Biases Appear in Adolescent Career Exploration

Michael Noetel, Philip D. Parker, Geetanjali Basarkod, Clarence Ng et al.
Journal of Career Development
Career Development and Diversity
article

Bounded Rationality in Career Choices: How Cognitive Biases Appear in Adolescent Career Exploration

Michael Noetel, Philip D. Parker, Geetanjali Basarkod, Clarence Ng, Ghassani Swaryandini, Jason Tangen
article en

Abstract

Adolescents face high-stakes career decisions under uncertainty. Yet, while bounded rationality research has established that cognitive biases can systematically distort human judgement and decision-making, we know little about how these biases appear in adolescent career exploration. This pragmatic, mixed-methods study investigated how cognitive biases appear in career decision-making among 21 Australian high school students aged 15–18. Students participated in semi-structured interviews exploring their career decision-making approaches, followed by a quantitative survey assessing bias tendencies. Content analysis revealed several cognitive bias patterns: confirmation bias appeared as selective information seeking, availability bias emerged as choosing familiar careers, and varying levels of confidence and sunk-cost fallacy were observed. These findings highlight how biased thinking patterns can appear in adolescent career choices while acknowledging their potential benefits and limitations. Schools may benefit from incorporating bias-awareness activities into career education programs and teaching structured decision-making frameworks.

Journal of Career Development
The University of Queensland (AU), Australian Catholic University (AU)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Career Development and Diversity
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