Machine Learning Models for Predicting Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Trends

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is an important factor in understanding climate systems, weather patterns, and marine environments. Accurate prediction of SST helps in forecasting events like cyclones, monsoons, and climate change impacts. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex and nonlinear patterns present in SST data. In this research, machine learning models such as Linear Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) are used to predict SST variability and trends. Historical SST datasets from satellite and climate sources are used for training and testing the models. The performance of each model is evaluated using standard metrics like Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and R² score. The results show that LSTM performs better than other models due to its ability to learn time-based patterns effectively. This study proves that machine learning can significantly improve SST prediction accuracy and can be useful for climate-related applications.

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Publication Details

Journal
Iconic Research and Engineering Journals
Published
2026-04-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.64388/irev9i10-1716530
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
article
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article

Machine Learning Models for Predicting Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Trends

Sanjay Pachauri, Samta Kumari, Tajendra Riya, Sajid Ali
Iconic Research and Engineering Journals
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
article

Machine Learning Models for Predicting Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Trends

Sanjay Pachauri, Samta Kumari, Tajendra Riya, Sajid Ali
article en

Abstract

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is an important factor in understanding climate systems, weather patterns, and marine environments. Accurate prediction of SST helps in forecasting events like cyclones, monsoons, and climate change impacts. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex and nonlinear patterns present in SST data. In this research, machine learning models such as Linear Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) are used to predict SST variability and trends. Historical SST datasets from satellite and climate sources are used for training and testing the models. The performance of each model is evaluated using standard metrics like Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and R² score. The results show that LSTM performs better than other models due to its ability to learn time-based patterns effectively. This study proves that machine learning can significantly improve SST prediction accuracy and can be useful for climate-related applications.

Iconic Research and Engineering JournalsVol. 9(10)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
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Machine Learning Models for Predicting Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Trends — Sanjay Pachauri, Samta Kumari, et al. · Iconic Research and Engineering Journals (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS