Effect of NHS surgical hubs on elective primary hip-and-knee replacement volume, length of stay and waiting times: national longitudinal difference-in-differences study

Abstract Objectives To evaluate the effect of surgical hubs on the volume of surgeries, patient waiting times, and length of hospital stay for elective hip and knee replacements in the English NHS. Design A retrospective longitudinal study using a difference-in-differences approach to compare changes in outcomes at NHS trusts that opened surgical hubs with those that did not. Setting The study was set in the English NHS, using administrative data from NHS acute trusts providing elective hip and knee replacements between April 2014 and September 2024. Participants The study included 76 NHS trusts. The treatment group consisted of 29 trusts that opened a surgical hub for trauma and orthopaedic surgery during the study period. The control group consisted of 47 trusts that did not. 48 trusts that performed fewer than 1,000 relevant procedures over the ten-year period or that reported data for fewer than 41 of the 42 quarters in the sample period were excluded. Intervention The phased introduction of surgical hubs dedicated to elective procedures at 29 NHS trusts between Q1 2020 and Q3 2024. Main outcome measures The three main outcomes were, measured at the trust-quarter level: the total number of elective primary hip and knee replacements (surgical volume), the average length of stay in hospital, and the average waiting time from being added to the waiting list to hospital admission. Results The opening of a surgical hub was associated with an increase of 43.75 hip and knee replacement surgeries per quarter (95% CI: 22.22 to 65.28), which represents a 19.1% increase compared to the pre-hub mean. Length of stay was reduced by 0.32 days (95% CI: - 0.48 to -0.16), a 7.8% reduction. There was no statistically significant effect on average waiting times (-14.96 days, 95% CI: -33.11 to 3.19). Conclusions Surgical hubs appear to be effective at increasing the number of hip and knee replacements and reducing the time patients spend in hospital. However, in this study, they did not lead to a statistically significant reduction in waiting times overall.