Firms' GitHub Copilot adoption and labor market outcomes for software engineers

Abstract Using LinkedIn and GitHub data, this paper examines how firms' adoption of GitHub Copilot (GHC), a generative AI coding assistant, relates to software engineer (SWE) skills and labor outcomes. GHC adoption is associated with around a 3%–5% higher monthly probability of hiring SWEs, driven by entry‐level hires. New hires exhibit around 5% more non‐programming skills, with no decrease in coding skills. These findings are consistent with, for SWEs, GAI's productivity impacts and creation of new tasks outweighing potential displacement effects from automation of some SWE tasks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Contemporary Economic Policy
Published
2026-04-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/coep.70035
Primary Topic
Open Source Software Innovations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Firms' GitHub Copilot adoption and labor market outcomes for software engineers

Matthew Baird, Kevin Xu, Brian Xu, Mar Carpanelli
Contemporary Economic Policy
Open Source Software Innovations
article

Firms' GitHub Copilot adoption and labor market outcomes for software engineers

Matthew Baird, Kevin Xu, Brian Xu, Mar Carpanelli
article en

Abstract

Abstract Using LinkedIn and GitHub data, this paper examines how firms' adoption of GitHub Copilot (GHC), a generative AI coding assistant, relates to software engineer (SWE) skills and labor outcomes. GHC adoption is associated with around a 3%–5% higher monthly probability of hiring SWEs, driven by entry‐level hires. New hires exhibit around 5% more non‐programming skills, with no decrease in coding skills. These findings are consistent with, for SWEs, GAI's productivity impacts and creation of new tasks outweighing potential displacement effects from automation of some SWE tasks.

Contemporary Economic Policy
LinkedIn (United States) (US), STCube (United States) (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Open Source Software Innovations
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