Slope stability prediction based on the combination of deep kernel learning and gaussian process

Given the complex nonlinear relationships among slope features and between those features and the factor of safety (FoS), existing machine learning–based slope stability prediction methods are limited in modeling intricate structures and fail to quantify prediction uncertainty. We propose a slope stability prediction approach that integrates deep kernel learning with Gaussian Processes. Specifically, a multilayer neural network is employed to extract highly abstract feature representations, capturing deep patterns inaccessible to shallow architectures. These latent features construct a flexible, data-driven kernel that effectively models complex nonlinear relationships underlying the slope data. Finally, a Gaussian Process utilizes this deep kernel to predict the FoS accompanied by intrinsic uncertainty quantification. Experiments on a public Kaggle dataset show that the proposed method outperforms classical machine learning algorithms—Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR)—and deep learning methods—Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Deep Neural Network (DNN)—achieving the best results in terms of root mean square error, mean absolute error, and R², thereby providing new technical support for intelligent early warning of slope hazards.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geomatics Natural Hazards and Risk
Published
2026-04-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2026.2662408
Primary Topic
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Slope stability prediction based on the combination of deep kernel learning and gaussian process

Bo Fu, Shu Li, Guorong Yu, Haizhou Bao
Geomatics Natural Hazards and Risk
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
article

Slope stability prediction based on the combination of deep kernel learning and gaussian process

Bo Fu, Shu Li, Guorong Yu, Haizhou Bao
article en

Abstract

Given the complex nonlinear relationships among slope features and between those features and the factor of safety (FoS), existing machine learning–based slope stability prediction methods are limited in modeling intricate structures and fail to quantify prediction uncertainty. We propose a slope stability prediction approach that integrates deep kernel learning with Gaussian Processes. Specifically, a multilayer neural network is employed to extract highly abstract feature representations, capturing deep patterns inaccessible to shallow architectures. These latent features construct a flexible, data-driven kernel that effectively models complex nonlinear relationships underlying the slope data. Finally, a Gaussian Process utilizes this deep kernel to predict the FoS accompanied by intrinsic uncertainty quantification. Experiments on a public Kaggle dataset show that the proposed method outperforms classical machine learning algorithms—Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR)—and deep learning methods—Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and Deep Neural Network (DNN)—achieving the best results in terms of root mean square error, mean absolute error, and R², thereby providing new technical support for intelligent early warning of slope hazards.

Geomatics Natural Hazards and RiskVol. 17(1)
Changjiang Water Resources Commission (CN), Jianghan University (CN), Central China Normal University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
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