Machine learning-based optimization of sustainable concrete mix for strength prediction

This study investigates the application of machine learning algorithms in predicting the compressive strength of concrete, a crucial performance parameter in the construction industry. Traditional concrete design methods rely heavily on extensive laboratory testing, making them costly and time-consuming. The research aims to develop more efficient predictive models to optimize material usage while maintaining structural integrity. The study employs advanced machine learning models, including CatBoost, XGBoost, and LightGBM, to estimate concrete strength based on varying proportions of cement, blast furnace slag (BFS), fly ash, and aggregates. To enhance model interpretability, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, such as SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and permutation-based characterization, were utilized to assess the influence of individual components on compressive strength. The results confirm that machine learning models effectively capture complex nonlinear relationships between concrete mix components and compressive strength. These models outperform conventional prediction approaches in terms of accuracy, providing a more reliable and efficient alternative for estimating concrete strength.

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Publication Details

Journal
Discover Sustainability
Published
2026-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-026-03227-4
Primary Topic
Innovative concrete reinforcement materials
Type
article
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article

Machine learning-based optimization of sustainable concrete mix for strength prediction

Manohar Kapse, Avishek Ghosal, Yogesh Mahajan, Saikat Deb et al.
Discover Sustainability
Innovative concrete reinforcement materials
article

Machine learning-based optimization of sustainable concrete mix for strength prediction

Manohar Kapse, Avishek Ghosal, Yogesh Mahajan, Saikat Deb, Vinod Sharma
article en

Abstract

This study investigates the application of machine learning algorithms in predicting the compressive strength of concrete, a crucial performance parameter in the construction industry. Traditional concrete design methods rely heavily on extensive laboratory testing, making them costly and time-consuming. The research aims to develop more efficient predictive models to optimize material usage while maintaining structural integrity. The study employs advanced machine learning models, including CatBoost, XGBoost, and LightGBM, to estimate concrete strength based on varying proportions of cement, blast furnace slag (BFS), fly ash, and aggregates. To enhance model interpretability, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, such as SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and permutation-based characterization, were utilized to assess the influence of individual components on compressive strength. The results confirm that machine learning models effectively capture complex nonlinear relationships between concrete mix components and compressive strength. These models outperform conventional prediction approaches in terms of accuracy, providing a more reliable and efficient alternative for estimating concrete strength.

Discover Sustainability
Symbiosis International University (IN), Jaipuria Institute of Management (IN)
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Innovative concrete reinforcement materials
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Machine learning-based optimization of sustainable concrete mix for strength prediction — Manohar Kapse, Avishek Ghosal, et al. · Discover Sustainability (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS