Flooding of the Dragone Plain Polje and Its Impacts on the Karst Groundwater Resource (Terminio-Tuoro Massif, Southern Apennines, Italy)

The carbonate massifs of the southern Italian Apennines host extensive karst aquifers, which represent the principal drinking water resources. This study focuses on the Dragone Plain polje, a vast closed karst depression located in the main recharge sector of the Terminio–Tuoro carbonate massif. The polje drains a ~55 km2 endorheic catchment and may be flooded during the cold and wet season, forming a temporary lake. We employed continuous hydroclimatic time series (rainfall, groundwater level, spring discharge, and river level) together with sparse Sentinel-2 true color satellite images for the period 2020–2024 to analyze the flooding process in the polje and its hydraulic connection with the saturated zone of the karst aquifer. Results indicate that lake formation depends on the balance among soil moisture, rainfall intensity, and runoff development, which were modeled on a daily scale. Daily recharge was also estimated and compared with groundwater level time series from the deep karst aquifer. The modeling was integrated with cross-correlation analysis of the time series, providing insights into the propagation of precipitation pulses through the hydrogeological system. This case study represents an important example for understanding the relationship between karst polje hydrological functioning and climate in a Mediterranean area.