Evolution of Dynamic Elastic Parameters and Dry-Out-Induced Weakening Mechanisms in Reservoir and Caprock During Underground Gas Storage: Joint Ultrasonic and NMR Monitoring

Understanding dry-out-induced weakening of reservoir and caprock rocks driven by gas displacement is critical for ensuring the operational safety and efficiency of underground gas storage (UGS). Using core samples from the Xiangguosi UGS collected from different regions and stratigraphic intervals, we quantify the evolution of dynamic elastic parameters during simulated downhole dry-out with a joint ultrasonic and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) monitoring system. The results show that as water saturation (Sw) decreases, the dynamic bulk modulus (Kd) and P-wave velocity (Vp) decline by varying degrees across specimens, with reductions ranging from 3.0% to 50.48% and from 1.34% to 17.56%, respectively, whereas the dynamic shear modulus (Gd) and S-wave velocity (Vs) show only minor variations throughout the process. These findings demonstrate that the sensitivity of dynamic parameters to dry-out is strongly specimen-dependent. Further analysis indicates that the dry-out response is highly variable and depends on a combination of petrophysical properties. Among these, the heterogeneity of the initial pore structure acts as an important factor, with its influence shaped by mineralogy and bulk frame rigidity. Cores with multimodal pore size distributions and well-developed macropores (long T2 components) respond more strongly to dry-out, whereas higher clay mineral contents tend to mitigate modulus degradation by retaining water under stronger capillary confinement. Based on these observations, we propose a conceptual model of pore support and skeleton constraint. The model suggests that dry-out weakening arises from a progressive loss of pore fluid volumetric support to the rock skeleton as free water is preferentially displaced from meso- and macropores. These findings provide key experimental evidence and mechanistic insights for using geophysical methods to monitor dry-out zone expansion and to assess long-term formation stability in UGS.