Measurement-Informed Latency Limits for Real-Time UAV Swarm Coordination

Communication latency is one of the main factors limiting the practical scalability of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) swarms operating with distributed formation control. In real-time UAV missions, such as coordinated swarm navigation, autonomous inspection, and aerial monitoring, delayed information exchange directly affects formation stability and operational safety. In practical aerial networks, inter-UAV communication latency is influenced by stochastic effects including jitter, burst delays, and multi-hop propagation, which are rarely captured by the simplified deterministic delay assumptions commonly adopted in analytical formation-control studies. This paper introduces a measurement-informed stochastic delay model and a communication–control delay-feasibility framework that jointly account for per-link latency behavior, multi-hop delay accumulation, and controller-level delay tolerance. The proposed framework is evaluated using an attractive–repulsive distance-based potential field (ARD–PF) formation controller, for which the maximum admissible end-to-end delay is quantified as a function of swarm size and inter-UAV separation. The delay model is calibrated and validated using more than 15,000 in-flight communication delay samples collected from a multi-UAV LoRa platform operating under realistic flight conditions. The results show that different mechanisms limit swarm operation under different operating scenarios. In some configurations, stochastic communication latency becomes the dominant constraint, whereas in others, formation geometry or network load determines the feasible operating region. Based on these elements, the proposed framework characterizes delay-feasible operating regions and predicts the maximum feasible swarm size under distributed formation control and realistic multi-hop communication latency.