Coverage and Precision of Net Promoter Score Confidence Intervals Across Sampling Distributions

The Net Promoter Score (NPS) is a widely used metric for customer loyalty in business. However, the current theoretical gaps in the literature suggest practical refinements for real-world applications. In this simulation study, we use an unbiased estimator of the variance for the sample NPS to examine coverage and width for three different confidence interval methods: Wald, bootstrap t, and adjusted Wald with weights corresponding to four underlying population distribution shapes: extreme (E), left-skewed (LS), triangular (T), and uniform (U). As the sample size increased, all methods approached the nominal 95% coverage rate with an exception for the extreme population; the adjusted Wald method with triangular and uniform weights is particularly robust among the representative population shapes examined. All adjusted Wald methods performed comparably in width, especially at a larger n. The confidence interval width depended on the population shape. Overall, the Wald and bootstrap t methods should be avoided at small sample sizes and are not recommended. Our methods raise awareness of the sampling distribution of the NPS statistic, provide a theoretical basis for an unbiased estimator of the variance, and assess reliable confidence interval construction. These results provide an informed application of NPS and lay the foundation for future methodological development.

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Publication Details

Journal
Stats
Published
2026-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/stats9020045
Primary Topic
Customer Service Quality and Loyalty
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Coverage and Precision of Net Promoter Score Confidence Intervals Across Sampling Distributions

Philip Turk, Emma McNeill, Jordan Cinderich
Stats
Customer Service Quality and Loyalty
article

Coverage and Precision of Net Promoter Score Confidence Intervals Across Sampling Distributions

Philip Turk, Emma McNeill, Jordan Cinderich
article en

Abstract

The Net Promoter Score (NPS) is a widely used metric for customer loyalty in business. However, the current theoretical gaps in the literature suggest practical refinements for real-world applications. In this simulation study, we use an unbiased estimator of the variance for the sample NPS to examine coverage and width for three different confidence interval methods: Wald, bootstrap t, and adjusted Wald with weights corresponding to four underlying population distribution shapes: extreme (E), left-skewed (LS), triangular (T), and uniform (U). As the sample size increased, all methods approached the nominal 95% coverage rate with an exception for the extreme population; the adjusted Wald method with triangular and uniform weights is particularly robust among the representative population shapes examined. All adjusted Wald methods performed comparably in width, especially at a larger n. The confidence interval width depended on the population shape. Overall, the Wald and bootstrap t methods should be avoided at small sample sizes and are not recommended. Our methods raise awareness of the sampling distribution of the NPS statistic, provide a theoretical basis for an unbiased estimator of the variance, and assess reliable confidence interval construction. These results provide an informed application of NPS and lay the foundation for future methodological development.

StatsVol. 9(2)
University of Mississippi Medical Center (US), Northeast Ohio Medical University (US)
Northeast Ohio Medical University
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Customer Service Quality and Loyalty
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