Hour-Aware Adaptive Risk Management for Autonomous Memecoin Trading: A Multi-Layer Intelligence Framework

This paper introduces a multi-layer intelligence framework for autonomous memecoin trading that incorporates hour-aware adaptive risk thresholds. By analyzing historical trade outcomes against UTC hour-of-day, the framework identifies high-variance time windows and dynamically adjusts position entry criteria, stop-loss thresholds, and filter strictness. Backtests across Solana DEX trading data demonstrate that time-aware filtering substantially reduces drawdown relative to static-threshold baselines while preserving upside capture during favorable regimes. The approach generalizes to any algorithmic DEX trading system where signal quality varies predictably by time of day.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-04-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19670719
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Hour-Aware Adaptive Risk Management for Autonomous Memecoin Trading: A Multi-Layer Intelligence Framework

Arati Uday Kamat
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Hour-Aware Adaptive Risk Management for Autonomous Memecoin Trading: A Multi-Layer Intelligence Framework

Arati Uday Kamat
article en

Abstract

This paper introduces a multi-layer intelligence framework for autonomous memecoin trading that incorporates hour-aware adaptive risk thresholds. By analyzing historical trade outcomes against UTC hour-of-day, the framework identifies high-variance time windows and dynamically adjusts position entry criteria, stop-loss thresholds, and filter strictness. Backtests across Solana DEX trading data demonstrate that time-aware filtering substantially reduces drawdown relative to static-threshold baselines while preserving upside capture during favorable regimes. The approach generalizes to any algorithmic DEX trading system where signal quality varies predictably by time of day.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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