A Physics-Exhaustive Multi-Buffer Model for European Summer Temperature

Paper 9 updated version — preregistered prospective test. Operationalises the Papers 1–8 forest-water framework as a 24-buffer multifactor model for Central-European JJA temperature, with walk-forward validation, preregistered calibration gates and explicit out-of-distribution handling. The companion Paper 8 is described conservatively: its Amazon–STJ structure is linearly identified with nonlinear replication outstanding, while the regional 57/16 % shares are conditional OLS point estimates rather than a closed causal budget. Trilingual deposit (English article plus German and English long versions).

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-07-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19642092
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
preprint
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
preprint

A Physics-Exhaustive Multi-Buffer Model for European Summer Temperature

Jörg Mayer
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Climate variability and models
preprint

A Physics-Exhaustive Multi-Buffer Model for European Summer Temperature

Jörg Mayer
preprint en

Abstract

Paper 9 updated version — preregistered prospective test. Operationalises the Papers 1–8 forest-water framework as a 24-buffer multifactor model for Central-European JJA temperature, with walk-forward validation, preregistered calibration gates and explicit out-of-distribution handling. The companion Paper 8 is described conservatively: its Amazon–STJ structure is linearly identified with nonlinear replication outstanding, while the regional 57/16 % shares are conditional OLS point estimates rather than a closed causal budget. Trilingual deposit (English article plus German and English long versions).

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Climate Centre (NL)
Climate action
Climate variability and models
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.