A weakened diurnal weather constraint leads to longer burning hours in North America

Contemporary North American wildfires exhibit increasingly erratic intraday burning, posing immediate operational and socioeconomic challenges. Here, we show that climate-driven weakening of day-night (diurnal) weather constraints extends and intensifies burning hours, a key mechanism behind broader fire regime transformations. Analyzing hourly geostationary satellite observations for ~9000 fires (>200 hectares; 2017-2023), we found western mountains and boreal forests experienced the longest active burning hours, with approximately one-third of active days exceeding 12 hours. About 60% of fires reached peak intensity within 24 hours of detection, while 14% of active days peaked at night. On the basis of fire weather, annual potential burning hours were estimated to rise 36% over 1975-2024, with pronounced increases in western regions and spring/fall (48 to 57%). Regions with significant changes gained 26 more potential active days annually and 1.2 additional potential burning hours daily, while extreme days (≥12 or 24 potential burning hours) rose 81 to 233% in fire-prone biomes. Future management requires adaptation to wildfires that increasingly defy diurnal norms.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2026-04-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aed0725
Primary Topic
Fire effects on ecosystems
Type
article
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article

A weakened diurnal weather constraint leads to longer burning hours in North America

Kaiwei Luo, Mike Flannigan, Dante Castellanos‐Acuña, Xianli Wang
Science Advances
Fire effects on ecosystems
article

A weakened diurnal weather constraint leads to longer burning hours in North America

Kaiwei Luo, Mike Flannigan, Dante Castellanos‐Acuña, Xianli Wang
article en

Abstract

Contemporary North American wildfires exhibit increasingly erratic intraday burning, posing immediate operational and socioeconomic challenges. Here, we show that climate-driven weakening of day-night (diurnal) weather constraints extends and intensifies burning hours, a key mechanism behind broader fire regime transformations. Analyzing hourly geostationary satellite observations for ~9000 fires (>200 hectares; 2017-2023), we found western mountains and boreal forests experienced the longest active burning hours, with approximately one-third of active days exceeding 12 hours. About 60% of fires reached peak intensity within 24 hours of detection, while 14% of active days peaked at night. On the basis of fire weather, annual potential burning hours were estimated to rise 36% over 1975-2024, with pronounced increases in western regions and spring/fall (48 to 57%). Regions with significant changes gained 26 more potential active days annually and 1.2 additional potential burning hours daily, while extreme days (≥12 or 24 potential burning hours) rose 81 to 233% in fire-prone biomes. Future management requires adaptation to wildfires that increasingly defy diurnal norms.

Science AdvancesVol. 12(16)
Canadian Forest Service (CA), Natural Resources Canada (CA), University of Alberta (CA), Thompson Rivers University (CA)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Fire effects on ecosystems
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A weakened diurnal weather constraint leads to longer burning hours in North America — Kaiwei Luo, Mike Flannigan, et al. · Science Advances (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS