A mini review on “from decades to centuries”: temporal gaps in CCUS governance

Current carbon accounting equates CO 2 injection with permanent removal, an assumption that analysis of fractured unconventional reservoirs contradicts: 51.7% of injected carbon remains mobile after 10 years. This temporal misalignment rewards decade-scale performance while century-scale isolation is required, risking the institutionalization of carbon leakage within climate infrastructure. Binary accounting should be replaced by four containment regimes distinguished by residence time and phase stability, operationalized through a Time-Weighted Net Carbon Storage metric and a three-tiered intergenerational liability mechanism. China’s ongoing gigatonne-scale deployment provides a critical window to establish these time-aware governance precedents before suboptimal infrastructure becomes locked in.

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Publication Details

Journal
Frontiers in Earth Science
Published
2026-04-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2026.1823440
Primary Topic
CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A mini review on “from decades to centuries”: temporal gaps in CCUS governance

Tianbiao Zhao
Frontiers in Earth Science
CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions
article

A mini review on “from decades to centuries”: temporal gaps in CCUS governance

Tianbiao Zhao
article en

Abstract

Current carbon accounting equates CO 2 injection with permanent removal, an assumption that analysis of fractured unconventional reservoirs contradicts: 51.7% of injected carbon remains mobile after 10 years. This temporal misalignment rewards decade-scale performance while century-scale isolation is required, risking the institutionalization of carbon leakage within climate infrastructure. Binary accounting should be replaced by four containment regimes distinguished by residence time and phase stability, operationalized through a Time-Weighted Net Carbon Storage metric and a three-tiered intergenerational liability mechanism. China’s ongoing gigatonne-scale deployment provides a critical window to establish these time-aware governance precedents before suboptimal infrastructure becomes locked in.

Frontiers in Earth ScienceVol. 14
Sichuan Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute (China) (CN), Sichuan Institute of Building Research (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 21%
CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions
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