Resilience of Agricultural Trade During the <scp>US</scp> ‐China Trade War: The Role of Product and Geographical Diversification

ABSTRACT Global shocks often destabilise international trade, and the current tensions in US‐China trade relations exemplify this challenge. This study analyses China's customs data during 2019–2022 to identify optimal strategies to help Chinese agricultural products recover faster. The findings reveal that both product and geographical diversification significantly enhance the resilience of China's agricultural trade under trade war pressures, especially for China's eastern regions. While geographical diversification bolsters short‐term resilience, product diversification is key to long‐term trade stability. Furthermore, the positive impact of product diversification is mainly attributed to the weak relatedness among products, whereas geographical diversification benefits from the strong linkages among China's trading partners. These results highlight the critical role of such diversification in maintaining trade stability during the ongoing US‐China trade war and offer valuable insights for formulating agricultural trade strategies.