Systemic risk of the Chinese banks at different frequencies: Evidence from the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR)

• We examine the systemic risks of the Chinese banks at different frequencies • We analyze the factors affecting the systemic risks • Medium-sized banks show the highest medium- and long-term systemic risk contributions • GDP growth rate and bank size are the main determinants of long-term systemic risks We analyze the systemic risks of the Chinese banks at different frequencies from 2007-2022 by utilizing the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR) method. Furthermore, we examine the factors affecting the systemic risks. For the medium- and long-term systemic risks, we find that medium-sized banks and large state-owned banks show larger risk contributions, while city commercial banks demonstrate the lowest level of systemic risks. Profitability, leverage and loan quality are the main bank-specific determinants of the aggregate, short-term, and medium-term systemic risks of the Chinese banks. For the long-term systemic risk contributions, the macroeconomic GDP growth rate and the bank size are the main influencing factors. These findings suggest that banking regulators in China should pay attention to the large and medium-sized banks in the context of monitoring and mitigating systemic risks. Furthermore, the long-term systemic risks of the Chinese banking sector can be reduced by boosting economic growth.

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Publication Details

Journal
Finance research letters
Published
2026-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2026.110026
Primary Topic
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Systemic risk of the Chinese banks at different frequencies: Evidence from the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR)

Vanja Piljak, Junhua Jiang, Cong Ma
Finance research letters
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
article

Systemic risk of the Chinese banks at different frequencies: Evidence from the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR)

Vanja Piljak, Junhua Jiang, Cong Ma
article en

Abstract

• We examine the systemic risks of the Chinese banks at different frequencies • We analyze the factors affecting the systemic risks • Medium-sized banks show the highest medium- and long-term systemic risk contributions • GDP growth rate and bank size are the main determinants of long-term systemic risks We analyze the systemic risks of the Chinese banks at different frequencies from 2007-2022 by utilizing the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR) method. Furthermore, we examine the factors affecting the systemic risks. For the medium- and long-term systemic risks, we find that medium-sized banks and large state-owned banks show larger risk contributions, while city commercial banks demonstrate the lowest level of systemic risks. Profitability, leverage and loan quality are the main bank-specific determinants of the aggregate, short-term, and medium-term systemic risks of the Chinese banks. For the long-term systemic risk contributions, the macroeconomic GDP growth rate and the bank size are the main influencing factors. These findings suggest that banking regulators in China should pay attention to the large and medium-sized banks in the context of monitoring and mitigating systemic risks. Furthermore, the long-term systemic risks of the Chinese banking sector can be reduced by boosting economic growth.

Finance research lettersVol. 101
Guangxi University of Science and Technology (CN), Anhui University of Finance and Economics (CN), University of Vaasa (FI)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
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Systemic risk of the Chinese banks at different frequencies: Evidence from the wavelet conditional value at risk (CoVaR) — Vanja Piljak, Junhua Jiang, et al. · Finance research letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS