Physics-Informed Smart Grid Dispatch Under Renewable Uncertainty: Dynamic Graph Learning, Privacy-Aware Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning, and Causal Intervention Analysis

High-penetration renewable energy significantly increases uncertainty, dynamic network coupling, and the need for secure and coordinated smart-grid dispatch. To address the limitations of conventional forecasting-based and static graph-based methods, this paper proposes a unified dispatch framework that integrates topology-informed dynamic graph learning, privacy-aware multi-agent symbiotic reinforcement learning, and structural causal intervention analysis. The dispatch problem is formulated as a constrained partially observable stochastic game, in which multiple agents coordinate generation adjustment, reserve allocation, and congestion-aware corrective actions under engineering constraints. A physics-informed dynamic graph convolutional module captures both fixed physical topology and stress-dependent operational couplings, while a KL-regularized multi-agent reinforcement learning scheme improves cooperative task allocation under renewable fluctuations. Federated optimization with Rényi differential privacy is introduced to protect sensitive local operational information during training. In addition, a structural causal module provides intervention-based interpretation of how wind variation, load escalation, and line stress affect dispatch cost, congestion risk, and renewable curtailment. Experiments on a public-trace-driven benchmark based on a modified IEEE 30-bus system show that the proposed method achieves the best overall performance among the compared baselines, reducing dispatch-cost RMSE to 3.82, locational-price MAE to 2.95, renewable curtailment to 4.8%, and the constraint-violation rate to 0.30%. Overall, the framework shows favorable performance on the test benchmark, provides post hoc intervention-based interpretation of dispatch outcomes, and is evaluated under a reproducible benchmark construction and assessment protocol.

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Processes
Published
2026-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14081274
Primary Topic
Optimal Power Flow Distribution
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article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Physics-Informed Smart Grid Dispatch Under Renewable Uncertainty: Dynamic Graph Learning, Privacy-Aware Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning, and Causal Intervention Analysis

Y K Liu, Yuchun Li, Jinwei Yang, Shaosong Zhao et al.
Processes
Optimal Power Flow Distribution
article

Physics-Informed Smart Grid Dispatch Under Renewable Uncertainty: Dynamic Graph Learning, Privacy-Aware Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning, and Causal Intervention Analysis

Y K Liu, Yuchun Li, Jinwei Yang, Shaosong Zhao, Qinglin Cheng, Zhengsong Huang
article en

Abstract

High-penetration renewable energy significantly increases uncertainty, dynamic network coupling, and the need for secure and coordinated smart-grid dispatch. To address the limitations of conventional forecasting-based and static graph-based methods, this paper proposes a unified dispatch framework that integrates topology-informed dynamic graph learning, privacy-aware multi-agent symbiotic reinforcement learning, and structural causal intervention analysis. The dispatch problem is formulated as a constrained partially observable stochastic game, in which multiple agents coordinate generation adjustment, reserve allocation, and congestion-aware corrective actions under engineering constraints. A physics-informed dynamic graph convolutional module captures both fixed physical topology and stress-dependent operational couplings, while a KL-regularized multi-agent reinforcement learning scheme improves cooperative task allocation under renewable fluctuations. Federated optimization with Rényi differential privacy is introduced to protect sensitive local operational information during training. In addition, a structural causal module provides intervention-based interpretation of how wind variation, load escalation, and line stress affect dispatch cost, congestion risk, and renewable curtailment. Experiments on a public-trace-driven benchmark based on a modified IEEE 30-bus system show that the proposed method achieves the best overall performance among the compared baselines, reducing dispatch-cost RMSE to 3.82, locational-price MAE to 2.95, renewable curtailment to 4.8%, and the constraint-violation rate to 0.30%. Overall, the framework shows favorable performance on the test benchmark, provides post hoc intervention-based interpretation of dispatch outcomes, and is evaluated under a reproducible benchmark construction and assessment protocol.

ProcessesVol. 14(8)
Line Corporation (Japan) (JP), Daqing Oilfield General Hospital (CN), Northeast Petroleum University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Optimal Power Flow Distribution
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