Physics-Informed Smart Grid Dispatch Under Renewable Uncertainty: Dynamic Graph Learning, Privacy-Aware Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning, and Causal Intervention Analysis
High-penetration renewable energy significantly increases uncertainty, dynamic network coupling, and the need for secure and coordinated smart-grid dispatch. To address the limitations of conventional forecasting-based and static graph-based methods, this paper proposes a unified dispatch framework that integrates topology-informed dynamic graph learning, privacy-aware multi-agent symbiotic reinforcement learning, and structural causal intervention analysis. The dispatch problem is formulated as a constrained partially observable stochastic game, in which multiple agents coordinate generation adjustment, reserve allocation, and congestion-aware corrective actions under engineering constraints. A physics-informed dynamic graph convolutional module captures both fixed physical topology and stress-dependent operational couplings, while a KL-regularized multi-agent reinforcement learning scheme improves cooperative task allocation under renewable fluctuations. Federated optimization with Rényi differential privacy is introduced to protect sensitive local operational information during training. In addition, a structural causal module provides intervention-based interpretation of how wind variation, load escalation, and line stress affect dispatch cost, congestion risk, and renewable curtailment. Experiments on a public-trace-driven benchmark based on a modified IEEE 30-bus system show that the proposed method achieves the best overall performance among the compared baselines, reducing dispatch-cost RMSE to 3.82, locational-price MAE to 2.95, renewable curtailment to 4.8%, and the constraint-violation rate to 0.30%. Overall, the framework shows favorable performance on the test benchmark, provides post hoc intervention-based interpretation of dispatch outcomes, and is evaluated under a reproducible benchmark construction and assessment protocol.
Authors
- Y K Liu
- Yuchun Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7673-042X)
- Jinwei Yang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4118-0709)
- Shaosong Zhao
- Qinglin Cheng
- Zhengsong Huang
Institutions
- Line Corporation (Japan) (JP)
- Daqing Oilfield General Hospital (CN)
- Northeast Petroleum University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Processes
- Published
- 2026-04-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14081274
- Primary Topic
- Optimal Power Flow Distribution
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China