Integrated epidemiological and molecular data inform the relationship between precancer and cancer states of esophageal adenocarcinoma
Cancer generally takes years to evolve, and early diagnosis can prevent life-threatening cancer. Establishing a link between precancerous states and cancer is essential for effective screening and prevention. Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is an increasingly prevalent, poor-outcome cancer, and its presumed precursor, Barrett's esophagus (BE), characterized by intestinal metaplasia, is evident in only about half of cases. Here to test whether BE is a prerequisite to EAC, we integrated epidemiological and clinical characteristics in a prospective cohort of 3,100 patients with EAC for any evidence of BE (BE-positive and BE-negative) and compared genomic features using a subset of 710 patients with whole-genome sequencing and 87 patients (380 samples) with multiregional whole-exome sequencing. Demographic and genomic features typically associated with BE were observed across BE-positive and BE-negative EAC cases. Notably, molecular features consistent with early BE evolution were detected in both phenotypes. Advanced tumor stage was the only variable that corresponded with increased likelihood of BE-negative EAC, including in some patients with a previous BE diagnosis. Phylogenetic analyses revealed shared evolutionary trajectories, and spatial transcriptomic and proteomic analyses demonstrated intestinal metaplasia-associated lineage markers in both groups. These findings suggest a single pathway to EAC, with implications for early diagnosis and prevention strategies.
Authors
- Sarah Killcoyne (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3686-6167)
- Vijayendran Sujendran
- Emily L. Black (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9929-8043)
- AD Sharrocks
- Aisling M. Redmond (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9070-1780)
- Izhar Bagwan
- Michael Scott (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7408-0766)
- Ahsen Ustaoglu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9175-7089)
- Jacqueline D. Perelman
- Stephen J. Hayes (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4304-0953)
- Charles Crichton (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9171-1427)
- Calvin Cheah
- Yeng Ang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0496-6710)
- Vicki Save
- Francesca D. Ciccarelli (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9325-0900)
- Lianlian Wu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9611-4488)
- Tim Underwood (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9455-2188)
- Alexander M. Frankell (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0341-7878)
- Suzy Lishman
- Shalini Malhotra (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5186-1618)
- Laurence B. Lovat (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4542-3915)
- Shaun R. Preston (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9547-0587)
- L. Sreedharan
- Rebecca C. Fitzgerald (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3434-3568)
- Sujath Abbas (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2541-4969)
- E. Ococks
- JA Gossage
- Andrew Hindmarsh (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3209-6591)
- Paul A. Edwards (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4789-3374)
- Philippe Tanière (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4638-4551)
- Christopher John Peters (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2081-5701)
- Gianmarco Contino (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5874-0405)
- Ahmad Miremadi
- Sriganesh Jammula (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0607-2502)
- Adam Freeman (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8376-7498)
- Ginny Devonshire (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1408-8176)
- Ted R. Hupp (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0391-0352)
- Alexander Bartram (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4652-5297)
- Barbara Nutzinger
- Krishna Moorthy (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8960-465X)
- Ula Mahadeva (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9459-3403)
- Shahriar A. Zamani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8622-5013)
- Hannah Coles
- Christine Loreno
- Curtis Millington
- Maria Secrier (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2758-1741)
- Fuju Chang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-6949)
- Ben Grace
- J. Robert O’Neill
- Monika Tripathi
- Peter Safranek
- Rehan Haidry
- Grant Sanders
- Simon L. Parsons
- Damian McManus
- Elizabeth Smyth
- Olga Tucker
- Freddie Bartlett
- Richard Hardwick (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-7981-9252)
- Nick Carroll
- A Beggs
- Russell D. Petty
- Alvin W. T. Ng (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4672-0815)
- Nicola Grehan
- David Chan
- Richard Berrisford
- Andrew Davies
- Robert C. Walker
- Sonia Puig
- Richard Turkington
- John Saunders
- Matthew Eldridge
- Bhaskar Kumar
- Helen G. Coleman
- Maria O’Donovan
- Vicky Goh
- Daniel Jacobson
- George B. Hanna
- Anna Grabowska
- Jesper Lagergren
- Philip Kaye
- Irshad Soomro
- Ed Cheong
- Richard J. E. Skipworth
- Jim Davies
- Sharmila Sothi
Institutions
- Queen's University Belfast (GB)
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust (GB)
- University of Nottingham (GB)
- Nanyang Technological University (SG)
- King's College London (GB)
- Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital (GB)
- Royal Surrey County Hospital (GB)
- Heart of England NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Peterborough City Hospital (GB)
- Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Cancer Research UK (GB)
- Wrightington, Wigan and Leigh NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Ninewells Hospital (GB)
- University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire NHS Trust (GB)
- Edinburgh Royal Infirmary (GB)
- University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Karolinska Institutet (SE)
- University of Manchester (GB)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Cancer Research UK Cambridge Center (GB)
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust (GB)
- Queen's Medical Centre (GB)
- National Cancer Institute (US)
- Wythenshawe Hospital (GB)
- Plymouth Hospital (GB)
- Department of Health and Human Services (US)
- University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust (GB)
- University of Southampton (GB)
- University College London (GB)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- University of Birmingham (GB)
- Cytel (United States) (US)
- University of Edinburgh (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Medicine
- Published
- 2026-04-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-026-04331-8
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Esophageal Cancer Research and Treatment
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 26.15
Funders
- Cancer Research UK
- Medical Research Council