Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio Optimization Under Stochastic Market Dynamics

Portfolio optimization is one of the most difficult sequential decision problems, as uncertainty and the non-stationary nature of financial markets hinder the development of robust strategies. Reinforcement learning is an attractive framework for addressing this problem, as it allows agents to learn market-adaptive strategies through data-driven interactions. However, existing risk-neutral reinforcement learning solutions for portfolio management are oblivious to downside risk and are mainly concerned with maximizing returns. To address this limitation, this paper proposes a novel risk-sensitive reinforcement learning framework for risk-aware portfolio optimization based on a conditional value-at-risk-based learning objective that explicitly controls extreme loss events. It formulates the portfolio optimization problem as a Markov decision process and solves it using a linearized actor–critic architecture. It also develops theoretical results to analyze important aspects of the learning process, specifically proving that the convexity of the conditional value-at-risk-based formulation and convergence of learning hold under standard assumptions. The proposed algorithm is applied in a realistic investment setting using NIFTY 50 market data. Quantitative results from a rolling window backtesting methodology show that the proposed model achieves the best risk-adjusted portfolio performance, i.e., a Sharpe ratio (0.610), while significantly reducing tail risk, as measured by the conditional value-at-risk (−0.121) and maximum drawdown (−0.198), compared to classical strategies and risk-neutral reinforcement learning solutions. Overall, the results demonstrate that integrating coherent risk measures into reinforcement learning provides an effective approach for developing robust and risk-aware portfolio optimization strategies in dynamic financial environments.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14081334
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
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article

Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio Optimization Under Stochastic Market Dynamics

Binod Kumar Mishra, Branimir Kalaš, Hashmat Fida
Mathematics
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
article

Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning for Portfolio Optimization Under Stochastic Market Dynamics

Binod Kumar Mishra, Branimir Kalaš, Hashmat Fida
article en

Abstract

Portfolio optimization is one of the most difficult sequential decision problems, as uncertainty and the non-stationary nature of financial markets hinder the development of robust strategies. Reinforcement learning is an attractive framework for addressing this problem, as it allows agents to learn market-adaptive strategies through data-driven interactions. However, existing risk-neutral reinforcement learning solutions for portfolio management are oblivious to downside risk and are mainly concerned with maximizing returns. To address this limitation, this paper proposes a novel risk-sensitive reinforcement learning framework for risk-aware portfolio optimization based on a conditional value-at-risk-based learning objective that explicitly controls extreme loss events. It formulates the portfolio optimization problem as a Markov decision process and solves it using a linearized actor–critic architecture. It also develops theoretical results to analyze important aspects of the learning process, specifically proving that the convexity of the conditional value-at-risk-based formulation and convergence of learning hold under standard assumptions. The proposed algorithm is applied in a realistic investment setting using NIFTY 50 market data. Quantitative results from a rolling window backtesting methodology show that the proposed model achieves the best risk-adjusted portfolio performance, i.e., a Sharpe ratio (0.610), while significantly reducing tail risk, as measured by the conditional value-at-risk (−0.121) and maximum drawdown (−0.198), compared to classical strategies and risk-neutral reinforcement learning solutions. Overall, the results demonstrate that integrating coherent risk measures into reinforcement learning provides an effective approach for developing robust and risk-aware portfolio optimization strategies in dynamic financial environments.

MathematicsVol. 14(8)
Chandigarh University (IN), Presidency University (IN), University of Novi Sad (RS)
Openalex Percentile: Top 20%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
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