Astronomically Constrained Palaeoclimate Reconstruction and Drivers of Organic Carbon Burial: Evidence from the Lower Eocene Wenchang Formation, Eastern Yangjiang Sag

Sub-sag 21 in the eastern Yangjiang Sag, Pearl River Mouth Basin, South China, contains a thick lacustrine source-rock interval within the lower Wenchang Formation and is a major exploration target on the northern margin of the South China Sea. However, the timing of deposition during the early to middle Eocene remains poorly constrained, and the applicability of quantitative palaeoclimate reconstruction methods in low-latitude lacustrine basins requires further evaluation. In this study, we analyzed mudstones from the lower Wenchang Formation in Well E1. Using cyclostratigraphic constraints, we applied AstroGeoFit to construct an astronomically tuned age model, and combined palynological coexistence analysis with geochemical weathering proxies and linear–regression calibration to quantitatively reconstruct and cross-validate mean annual temperature and mean annual precipitation. Within this time-calibrated framework, we further quantified organic-carbon burial to evaluate the relationship between palaeoclimate evolution and organic-matter enrichment. The AstroGeoFit results indicate that the top of the lower Wenchang Formation in Well E1 is constrained to 44.563 Ma, and that the studied succession spans 50.249–44.563 Ma. Palynological coexistence analysis identifies three palaeoclimate phases within this interval. Method evaluation shows that the temperature reconstruction based on major-element geochemistry agrees well with the pollen-based temperature record, whereas one precipitation reconstruction based on weathering proxies shows the most robust agreement and stability relative to the pollen-based precipitation record. Reconstructed mean annual temperature ranges from 10.77 to 22.20 °C, and reconstructed mean annual precipitation ranges from 1188.27 to 1871.89 mm. Correlation analyses on the tuned timescale show that precipitation is more strongly associated than temperature with organic-matter accumulation parameters, including total organic carbon and organic carbon accumulation rate, indicating that organic carbon burial in the eastern Yangjiang Sag lake basin was mainly controlled by hydrological forcing. During the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum, carbon burial in low-latitude lakes was, therefore, not a simple response to elevated temperature, but instead reflected the integrated effects of precipitation, runoff, stratification, material supply, transport, and preservation. The evolutionary sequence further suggests that early high productivity was diluted by rapid sedimentation, reducing total organic carbon; subsequent cooling, lake deepening, and strengthened stratification enhanced organic matter preservation; and finally, tectonic subsidence together with regional humidification promoted the development and long-term preservation of high-quality lacustrine source rocks.