Techno-Economic Optimization of 100% Renewable Off-Grid Hydrogen Systems Through Multi-Timescale Energy Storage Portfolios

This study develops a high-resolution techno-economic optimization framework to assess the feasibility of green hydrogen production in 100% renewable, off-grid systems. Utilizing 5-minute interval meteorological data aggregated to hourly resolution spanning 5 years across seven geographically diverse sites, this study co-optimizes the integration of hybrid wind–solar power generation, flexible electrolyzer operation, and a multi-timescale energy storage portfolio, incorporating short-duration, long-duration, and seasonal storage. On the generation side, a hybrid wind–solar configuration achieves the lowest levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). For energy storage, no single storage technology can economically address demand fluctuations across short-term, medium-term, long-term, and seasonal timescales. Instead, a coordinated multi-timescale storage strategy incorporating energy-to-energy mechanisms reduces the LCOH by up to 40%. Increasing hydrogen tank capacity and enabling flexible electrolyzer operation further lowers the LCOH. Significant regional resource variability leads to substantial cost disparities, with the most favorable region achieving a low LCOH of $2.45/kg. Several regions are projected to reach the $3/kg target by 2030, while areas with limited resources require large-scale hydrogen storage to ensure supply reliability. These results represent deterministic lower-bound estimates under perfect foresight; accounting for forecast uncertainty and real-world operational constraints would likely increase actual costs by approximately 5–15%.