Analysis of Fault Slip Potential of Seismogenic Faults Based on In Situ Stress Measurement and Monitoring Data—A Case Study of the Strong Seismic Region in Zhangbei, North China

The aim of this paper is to investigate dynamic adjustment of the in situ stress field and the stability of main faults in the Zhangbei strong seismic region. Firstly, we utilized in situ stress measurement and monitoring data to discuss the dynamic adjustment process of the in situ stress field. Subsequently, the Fault Slip Potential (FSP) v.1.0 software package was employed to calculate the fault slip potential of the main faults. Finally, the potential hazard of fault activity was assessed. The conclusions are as follows. (1) Since November 2015, the in situ stress field has been primarily influenced by NEE compressive tectonic action, with a slight enhancement in the near SN compressive tectonic action. (2) In the initial stage, NE-trending faults exhibited the highest stress accumulation levels, with near-EW-trending faults the lowest. Influenced by the enhanced near-SN-trending compressive action, as of 19 October 2020, near-EW-trending faults displayed the highest stress accumulation, followed by NW-trending faults, with NE-trending faults showing the least accumulation. (3) From November 2015 to October 2020, the in situ stress field was in a continuous accumulation process. Using the Shangyi–Pingquan fault as a boundary, fault activity in the southern part of the strong seismic region is more hazardous than that in the northern part.