Ruminations on Floridi’s Conjecture

Abstract Floridi (Philos Technol 38(3):93, 2025a) has recently conjectured a formal trade-off between epistemic certainty and mapping scope in AI systems, suggesting a universal constraint that reappears in various guises from symbolic reasoning to statistical learning. We examine his proposal and identify several problems with the formalization, arguing that it obscures important distinctions between different kinds of AI systems and the tasks they address. More importantly, we contend that no formulation of the certainty-scope trade-off could be simultaneously precise enough to be tested and general enough to apply across different domains. The heterogeneity of AI itself ensures that any statement sufficiently abstract to encompass all cases must sacrifice the very structural detail required for a rigorous formalization. Rather than seeking an all-purpose law, we advocate a pluralistic, context-sensitive approach that treats the certainty-scope tension as a useful philosophical lens while resisting the impulse to over-formalize it.

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Journal
Philosophy & Technology
Published
2026-04-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13347-026-01086-5
Primary Topic
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Ruminations on Floridi’s Conjecture

Tom F. Sterkenburg, David S. Watson
Philosophy & Technology
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
article

Ruminations on Floridi’s Conjecture

Tom F. Sterkenburg, David S. Watson
article en

Abstract

Abstract Floridi (Philos Technol 38(3):93, 2025a) has recently conjectured a formal trade-off between epistemic certainty and mapping scope in AI systems, suggesting a universal constraint that reappears in various guises from symbolic reasoning to statistical learning. We examine his proposal and identify several problems with the formalization, arguing that it obscures important distinctions between different kinds of AI systems and the tasks they address. More importantly, we contend that no formulation of the certainty-scope trade-off could be simultaneously precise enough to be tested and general enough to apply across different domains. The heterogeneity of AI itself ensures that any statement sufficiently abstract to encompass all cases must sacrifice the very structural detail required for a rigorous formalization. Rather than seeking an all-purpose law, we advocate a pluralistic, context-sensitive approach that treats the certainty-scope tension as a useful philosophical lens while resisting the impulse to over-formalize it.

Philosophy & TechnologyVol. 39(2)
King's College London (GB), Munich School of Philosophy (DE), Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (DE)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
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