Predictive performance of the PUMA questionnaire as an opportunistic COPD case-finding tool in Singapore primary care

The PUMA scale has shown good discrimination in identifying people with COPD in primary care. We evaluated the predictive performance of PUMA for opportunistic case-finding and assessed the prevalence of COPD in at-risk primary care patients in Singapore. This is a multicentre cross-sectional study of participants aged ≥40 years and current/former smokers. Participants completed the PUMA scale and spirometry. Predictive performance of PUMA was assessed using AUC-ROC; optimal cutoff was determined by Youden's index. 359 participants were included in final analysis; 12.5% had COPD confirmed on spirometry. PUMA showed acceptable discrimination with AUC-ROC of 0.75 (95% CI:0.67-0.83). Optimal cutoff maximising sensitivity and specificity was ≥5 (Se 62.2%, Sp 79.3%; PPV 30.1%, NPV 93.6%); cutoff of ≥4 increased sensitivity to 80.0% (Sp of 56.7%; PPV 20.9%, NPV 95.2%.). The PUMA scale demonstrated acceptable predictive performance for opportunistic COPD case-finding in Singapore's primary care setting. A cutoff of ≥4 enhanced case identification.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine
Published
2026-04-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41533-026-00510-9
Primary Topic
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
Type
article
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article

Predictive performance of the PUMA questionnaire as an opportunistic COPD case-finding tool in Singapore primary care

GEAK POH TAN, Vicky Mengqi Qin, Eng Sing Lee, Susie Wong et al.
npj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
article

Predictive performance of the PUMA questionnaire as an opportunistic COPD case-finding tool in Singapore primary care

GEAK POH TAN, Vicky Mengqi Qin, Eng Sing Lee, Susie Wong, Zeyuan Yin, Valery Ho, Dingding Wang, Jo-Anne Manski-Nankervis, Kenneth Tan
article en

Abstract

The PUMA scale has shown good discrimination in identifying people with COPD in primary care. We evaluated the predictive performance of PUMA for opportunistic case-finding and assessed the prevalence of COPD in at-risk primary care patients in Singapore. This is a multicentre cross-sectional study of participants aged ≥40 years and current/former smokers. Participants completed the PUMA scale and spirometry. Predictive performance of PUMA was assessed using AUC-ROC; optimal cutoff was determined by Youden's index. 359 participants were included in final analysis; 12.5% had COPD confirmed on spirometry. PUMA showed acceptable discrimination with AUC-ROC of 0.75 (95% CI:0.67-0.83). Optimal cutoff maximising sensitivity and specificity was ≥5 (Se 62.2%, Sp 79.3%; PPV 30.1%, NPV 93.6%); cutoff of ≥4 increased sensitivity to 80.0% (Sp of 56.7%; PPV 20.9%, NPV 95.2%.). The PUMA scale demonstrated acceptable predictive performance for opportunistic COPD case-finding in Singapore's primary care setting. A cutoff of ≥4 enhanced case identification.

npj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine
Ministry of Health (SG), The University of Melbourne (AU), Nanyang Technological University (SG), Mount Elizabeth Hospital (SG), Tan Tock Seng Hospital (SG), SingHealth Polyclinics (SG)
Reduced inequalities, Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
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Predictive performance of the PUMA questionnaire as an opportunistic COPD case-finding tool in Singapore primary care — GEAK POH TAN, Vicky Mengqi Qin, et al. · npj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS