Entropy-Filtered Machine Learning for Risk-Aware Algorithmic Trading and Portfolio Decision Making

Modern financial markets are increasingly shaped by algorithmic trading systems and artificial intelligence techniques that process large volumes of financial data in real time. However, machine learning-based trading systems often suffer from signal instability and excessive sensitivity to market noise, which may lead to overtrading and increased financial risk. In highly volatile environments such as cryptocurrency markets, the reliability of trading signals becomes a critical issue for both portfolio allocation and risk management. This study proposes an entropy-filtered machine learning framework designed to enhance the stability and risk-awareness of algorithmic trading strategies. The proposed approach integrates entropy-based filtering techniques with machine learning classifiers in order to reduce noise in market signals, thereby improving the risk-adjusted stability of trading strategies. Entropy measures are employed as a filtering mechanism that evaluates the informational content of predictive signals and suppresses unreliable model outputs. The empirical analysis is conducted using cryptocurrency market data, where the entropy-filtered framework is applied to trading signal generation and decision making. The results indicate that the proposed approach improves the stability of trading signals and reduces the occurrence of false signals compared to conventional machine learning models. In addition, entropy filtering contributes to a more balanced risk–return profile and enhances the overall robustness of trading strategies. Moreover, entropy filtering contributes to a more balanced risk–return profile and enhances the overall robustness of trading strategies. The findings suggest that entropy-based filtering substantially improves the reliability and risk-awareness of machine learning trading systems, providing a promising direction for the development of more robust AI-driven financial decision frameworks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of risk and financial management
Published
2026-04-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19040283
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
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article

Entropy-Filtered Machine Learning for Risk-Aware Algorithmic Trading and Portfolio Decision Making

Florentin Serban, Bogdan Petru Vrinceanu
Journal of risk and financial management
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Entropy-Filtered Machine Learning for Risk-Aware Algorithmic Trading and Portfolio Decision Making

Florentin Serban, Bogdan Petru Vrinceanu
article en

Abstract

Modern financial markets are increasingly shaped by algorithmic trading systems and artificial intelligence techniques that process large volumes of financial data in real time. However, machine learning-based trading systems often suffer from signal instability and excessive sensitivity to market noise, which may lead to overtrading and increased financial risk. In highly volatile environments such as cryptocurrency markets, the reliability of trading signals becomes a critical issue for both portfolio allocation and risk management. This study proposes an entropy-filtered machine learning framework designed to enhance the stability and risk-awareness of algorithmic trading strategies. The proposed approach integrates entropy-based filtering techniques with machine learning classifiers in order to reduce noise in market signals, thereby improving the risk-adjusted stability of trading strategies. Entropy measures are employed as a filtering mechanism that evaluates the informational content of predictive signals and suppresses unreliable model outputs. The empirical analysis is conducted using cryptocurrency market data, where the entropy-filtered framework is applied to trading signal generation and decision making. The results indicate that the proposed approach improves the stability of trading signals and reduces the occurrence of false signals compared to conventional machine learning models. In addition, entropy filtering contributes to a more balanced risk–return profile and enhances the overall robustness of trading strategies. Moreover, entropy filtering contributes to a more balanced risk–return profile and enhances the overall robustness of trading strategies. The findings suggest that entropy-based filtering substantially improves the reliability and risk-awareness of machine learning trading systems, providing a promising direction for the development of more robust AI-driven financial decision frameworks.

Journal of risk and financial managementVol. 19(4)
Bucharest University of Economic Studies (RO)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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