Over Two Million Life-Years at Risk: Why Gaza’s Health Reconstruction Is a Moral Imperative

The concept of "Healthocide," first defined by Abi-Rached and colleagues, describes the deliberate and systematic destruction of health systems as a weapon of war. Nowhere is this phenomenon more extensively documented than in Gaza, where the collapse of healthcare infrastructure since October 2023 has been rapid, wide-ranging, and intentionally sustained. The consequence is not only immediate excess mortality, but also profound, long-term loss of population health measured in life-years, a metric that captures both premature death and reductions in expected lifespan. To address the aftermath of such destruction, we propose the framework of "Healthogenesis," defined as a Palestinian-led, equity-driven, and rights-anchored approach to health system reconstruction in which international actors serve as enablers rather than agenda-setters. The aim of Healthogenesis is not merely to restore pre-war capacity, but to build a resilient, sovereign, and future-proof health ecosystem. Using available demographic and mortality data, we estimate that more than three million life-years have already been lost in Gaza since October 2023. Projection models suggest that an additional 1.1 to 2.2 million life-years could be lost over the coming decade unless an organized programme of reconstruction begins immediately. Quantifying harm in life-years reframes the discourse from moral outrage to measurable obligation. If Healthocide names the crime, then Healthogenesis outlines the cure: a coherent, data-anchored, ethically grounded roadmap for rebuilding a devastated health system and protecting the health futures of an entire population.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Published
2026-04-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23040484
Primary Topic
Health and Conflict Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Over Two Million Life-Years at Risk: Why Gaza’s Health Reconstruction Is a Moral Imperative

Isabella M. Frigerio, Umberto Cillo, Andrew A. Gumbs, Alessandro Vitale et al.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Health and Conflict Studies
article

Over Two Million Life-Years at Risk: Why Gaza’s Health Reconstruction Is a Moral Imperative

Isabella M. Frigerio, Umberto Cillo, Andrew A. Gumbs, Alessandro Vitale, Mohammad Abu Hilal
article en

Abstract

The concept of "Healthocide," first defined by Abi-Rached and colleagues, describes the deliberate and systematic destruction of health systems as a weapon of war. Nowhere is this phenomenon more extensively documented than in Gaza, where the collapse of healthcare infrastructure since October 2023 has been rapid, wide-ranging, and intentionally sustained. The consequence is not only immediate excess mortality, but also profound, long-term loss of population health measured in life-years, a metric that captures both premature death and reductions in expected lifespan. To address the aftermath of such destruction, we propose the framework of "Healthogenesis," defined as a Palestinian-led, equity-driven, and rights-anchored approach to health system reconstruction in which international actors serve as enablers rather than agenda-setters. The aim of Healthogenesis is not merely to restore pre-war capacity, but to build a resilient, sovereign, and future-proof health ecosystem. Using available demographic and mortality data, we estimate that more than three million life-years have already been lost in Gaza since October 2023. Projection models suggest that an additional 1.1 to 2.2 million life-years could be lost over the coming decade unless an organized programme of reconstruction begins immediately. Quantifying harm in life-years reframes the discourse from moral outrage to measurable obligation. If Healthocide names the crime, then Healthogenesis outlines the cure: a coherent, data-anchored, ethically grounded roadmap for rebuilding a devastated health system and protecting the health futures of an entire population.

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public HealthVol. 23(4)
University of Jordan (JO), University of Padua (IT), University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust (GB), Casa di Cura Villa Garda (IT), University Hospital Magdeburg (DE), Collegium Medicum in Bydgoszcz (PL), Hôpital Antoine-Béclère (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Health and Conflict Studies
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