Space-based observation of global increase in urban methane emissions from 2019–2023

/y) in 2023, equivalent to [Formula: see text]10% of the global anthropogenic methane budget. We track emissions for 72 of these cities (51 C40 cities and 21 non-C40 cities) from 2019-2023. Methane emissions from these cities weakly declined in 2020 followed by steady growth, with a 2.3 Tg aggregate increase over 4 y. This growth contributes minimally to the recent atmospheric methane surge. While C40 cities have largely pledged 34% reductions by 2030, we observe significant growth from 2020 to 2023 (10%, 95%CI: 2%, 17%), similar to growth observed in non-C40 cities (12%, 95%CI: [Formula: see text]1.5%, 25%). Inventories fail to capture observed growth, suggesting urban emissions are not well characterized, and mitigation approaches may not be optimally designed. For the C40 network to achieve its methane target (34% by 2030), steep, rapid reductions will be needed. Emission reductions of this magnitude would be detectable with the space-based approach used in this work.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Published
2026-04-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2504211123
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Space-based observation of global increase in urban methane emissions from 2019–2023

Joannes D. Maasakkers, Ilse Aben, Gijs Leguijt, E. A. Kort et al.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

Space-based observation of global increase in urban methane emissions from 2019–2023

Joannes D. Maasakkers, Ilse Aben, Gijs Leguijt, E. A. Kort, Genevieve Plant, Kira J. Biener
article en

Abstract

/y) in 2023, equivalent to [Formula: see text]10% of the global anthropogenic methane budget. We track emissions for 72 of these cities (51 C40 cities and 21 non-C40 cities) from 2019-2023. Methane emissions from these cities weakly declined in 2020 followed by steady growth, with a 2.3 Tg aggregate increase over 4 y. This growth contributes minimally to the recent atmospheric methane surge. While C40 cities have largely pledged 34% reductions by 2030, we observe significant growth from 2020 to 2023 (10%, 95%CI: 2%, 17%), similar to growth observed in non-C40 cities (12%, 95%CI: [Formula: see text]1.5%, 25%). Inventories fail to capture observed growth, suggesting urban emissions are not well characterized, and mitigation approaches may not be optimally designed. For the C40 network to achieve its methane target (34% by 2030), steep, rapid reductions will be needed. Emission reductions of this magnitude would be detectable with the space-based approach used in this work.

Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesVol. 123(16)
Planetary Science Institute (US), Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (NL), University of Michigan (US), Yale University (US), Sustainability Institute (ZA), Max Planck Institute for Chemistry (DE), Institute for Sustainability (GB), Space Research Organisation Netherlands (NL)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration, National Institute of Standards and Technology
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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