Antarctic sea-ice loss shifts the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase
Antarctic sea-ice loss can influence climate far beyond the Southern Hemisphere, but its remote impacts and underlying mechanisms remain uncertain. Here we use numerical climate model experiments to show that reduced Antarctic sea ice triggers a response resembling the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This pattern is characterized by sea-surface temperature cooling in the western North Pacific and warming in the eastern and subpolar Pacific. This transient adjustment unfolds over approximately 20 years. Mechanistically, the response is initiated by a strengthened interhemispheric thermal gradient that drives a southward shift of the Asian jet. Idealized experiments confirm that this jet shift generates low sea-level pressure anomalies over the western North Pacific, which intensify cold oceanic advection and reduce downward shortwave radiation. These findings imply that Antarctic sea-ice decline can act as a cross-hemispheric driver, potentially shifting the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase. Reduced Antarctic sea-ice favors a positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation-like pattern in the North Pacific remotely by driving a southward shift of the Asian jet and generating low pressure anomalies over the western Pacific, revealed by climate model experiments.
Authors
- Hyo‐Seok Park (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2074-2656)
- Eui‐Seok Chung (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9601-7143)
- S. Xie
- Sang-Wook Yeh (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4549-1686)
- Hyein Jeong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2235-7188)
Institutions
- Ewha Womans University (KR)
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Korea Polar Research Institute (KR)
- Hanyang University (KR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Communications Earth & Environment
- Published
- 2026-04-11
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03489-w
- Primary Topic
- Climate variability and models
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Korea Meteorological Administration