Antarctic sea-ice loss shifts the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase

Antarctic sea-ice loss can influence climate far beyond the Southern Hemisphere, but its remote impacts and underlying mechanisms remain uncertain. Here we use numerical climate model experiments to show that reduced Antarctic sea ice triggers a response resembling the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This pattern is characterized by sea-surface temperature cooling in the western North Pacific and warming in the eastern and subpolar Pacific. This transient adjustment unfolds over approximately 20 years. Mechanistically, the response is initiated by a strengthened interhemispheric thermal gradient that drives a southward shift of the Asian jet. Idealized experiments confirm that this jet shift generates low sea-level pressure anomalies over the western North Pacific, which intensify cold oceanic advection and reduce downward shortwave radiation. These findings imply that Antarctic sea-ice decline can act as a cross-hemispheric driver, potentially shifting the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase. Reduced Antarctic sea-ice favors a positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation-like pattern in the North Pacific remotely by driving a southward shift of the Asian jet and generating low pressure anomalies over the western Pacific, revealed by climate model experiments.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Earth & Environment
Published
2026-04-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03489-w
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Antarctic sea-ice loss shifts the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase

Hyo‐Seok Park, Eui‐Seok Chung, S. Xie, Sang-Wook Yeh et al.
Communications Earth & Environment
Climate variability and models
article

Antarctic sea-ice loss shifts the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase

Hyo‐Seok Park, Eui‐Seok Chung, S. Xie, Sang-Wook Yeh, Hyein Jeong
article en

Abstract

Antarctic sea-ice loss can influence climate far beyond the Southern Hemisphere, but its remote impacts and underlying mechanisms remain uncertain. Here we use numerical climate model experiments to show that reduced Antarctic sea ice triggers a response resembling the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This pattern is characterized by sea-surface temperature cooling in the western North Pacific and warming in the eastern and subpolar Pacific. This transient adjustment unfolds over approximately 20 years. Mechanistically, the response is initiated by a strengthened interhemispheric thermal gradient that drives a southward shift of the Asian jet. Idealized experiments confirm that this jet shift generates low sea-level pressure anomalies over the western North Pacific, which intensify cold oceanic advection and reduce downward shortwave radiation. These findings imply that Antarctic sea-ice decline can act as a cross-hemispheric driver, potentially shifting the Pacific Decadal Oscillation toward a positive phase. Reduced Antarctic sea-ice favors a positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation-like pattern in the North Pacific remotely by driving a southward shift of the Asian jet and generating low pressure anomalies over the western Pacific, revealed by climate model experiments.

Communications Earth & Environment
Ewha Womans University (KR), Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US), University of California San Diego (US), Korea Polar Research Institute (KR), Hanyang University (KR)
Korea Meteorological Administration
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Climate variability and models
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