Identifying urban morphological archetypes using k-means to analyze spatial heterogeneity of the urban thermal environment

Complex urban spatial morphology continues to shape the urban thermal environment. Although prior studies have highlighted the influence of urban morphological parameters on thermal conditions, few have translated city-specific characteristics into morphology-based design recommendations for heat mitigation. This study introduces a data-driven method using the k-means algorithm to identify urban morphological archetypes based on spatial morphology parameters. By integrating Random Forest with interpretable machine learning, we examined how morphology affects land surface temperature (LST) within each archetype and derived differentiated implications for thermal-environment optimization. The results identified 11 morphological archetypes and revealed significant LST differences among them. Compared with OLS and XGBoost, Random Forest achieved better performance in most archetypes. NDVI showed the strongest overall association with LST, while interpretable analysis further revealed nonlinear responses and threshold effects of key morphology parameters. These findings provide a basis for archetype-specific and spatially adaptive design recommendations for urban heat mitigation.

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Publication Details

Journal
City and Environment Interactions
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cacint.2026.100356
Primary Topic
Urban Design and Spatial Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Identifying urban morphological archetypes using k-means to analyze spatial heterogeneity of the urban thermal environment

Aihemaiti Namaiti, Yuanzhen Song, Dan Ji, Suiping Zeng et al.
City and Environment Interactions
Urban Design and Spatial Analysis
article

Identifying urban morphological archetypes using k-means to analyze spatial heterogeneity of the urban thermal environment

Aihemaiti Namaiti, Yuanzhen Song, Dan Ji, Suiping Zeng, Jian Tian, Jiahao Zhang, Weihao Shi
article en

Abstract

Complex urban spatial morphology continues to shape the urban thermal environment. Although prior studies have highlighted the influence of urban morphological parameters on thermal conditions, few have translated city-specific characteristics into morphology-based design recommendations for heat mitigation. This study introduces a data-driven method using the k-means algorithm to identify urban morphological archetypes based on spatial morphology parameters. By integrating Random Forest with interpretable machine learning, we examined how morphology affects land surface temperature (LST) within each archetype and derived differentiated implications for thermal-environment optimization. The results identified 11 morphological archetypes and revealed significant LST differences among them. Compared with OLS and XGBoost, Random Forest achieved better performance in most archetypes. NDVI showed the strongest overall association with LST, while interpretable analysis further revealed nonlinear responses and threshold effects of key morphology parameters. These findings provide a basis for archetype-specific and spatially adaptive design recommendations for urban heat mitigation.

City and Environment InteractionsVol. 30
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Urban Design and Spatial Analysis
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