Comparative Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence Versus Conventional Approaches for Early Detection of Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, with Evidence Predominantly from Dengue Studies
Background: Early differentiation of mosquito-borne viral infections from other causes of acute febrile illness remains challenging, particularly in endemic and resource-limited settings. Artificial intelligence (AI) models have been proposed to improve early diagnosis, but their incremental value over conventional approaches is unclear. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of comparative studies evaluating AI/machine learning models versus conventional approaches (clinical assessment, laboratory-based pathways, or traditional statistical models) for early detection of mosquito-borne viral infections. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched through August 2025. Paired performance metrics were synthesized using fixed- and random-effects models. Outcomes included AUC, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST. Results: Thirteen studies met inclusion criteria. Under random-effects models, AI improved sensitivity (ES = 2.64, p = 0.028), specificity (ES = 5.55, p < 0.001), accuracy (ES = 3.19, p < 0.001), and NPV (ES = 13.84, p < 0.001). No consistent advantage was observed for AUC, and PPV findings were inconsistent. Substantial heterogeneity was present across outcomes (I2 = 100%). Most studies relied on internal validation, and PROBAST identified high risk of bias in the analysis domain in over half. Conclusions: AI-based models may enhance threshold-dependent performance metrics, supporting their use as adjunctive decision-support tools for early triage and case exclusion, while external validation and implementation-focused research remain essential.
Authors
- Vincenza Gianfredi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3848-981X)
- Vincenzo Baldo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6012-9453)
- Claudia Cozzolino (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7628-9515)
- Flavia Pennisi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-9185-9747)
- Andrea Cozza (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9156-9312)
- Carlo Signorelli
- Giovanni Rezza
Institutions
- University of Padua (IT)
- Vita-Salute San Raffaele University (IT)
- University of Pavia (IT)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
- Published
- 2026-04-07
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/make8040093
- Primary Topic
- Mosquito-borne diseases and control
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00