Comparative Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence Versus Conventional Approaches for Early Detection of Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, with Evidence Predominantly from Dengue Studies

Background: Early differentiation of mosquito-borne viral infections from other causes of acute febrile illness remains challenging, particularly in endemic and resource-limited settings. Artificial intelligence (AI) models have been proposed to improve early diagnosis, but their incremental value over conventional approaches is unclear. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of comparative studies evaluating AI/machine learning models versus conventional approaches (clinical assessment, laboratory-based pathways, or traditional statistical models) for early detection of mosquito-borne viral infections. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched through August 2025. Paired performance metrics were synthesized using fixed- and random-effects models. Outcomes included AUC, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST. Results: Thirteen studies met inclusion criteria. Under random-effects models, AI improved sensitivity (ES = 2.64, p = 0.028), specificity (ES = 5.55, p < 0.001), accuracy (ES = 3.19, p < 0.001), and NPV (ES = 13.84, p < 0.001). No consistent advantage was observed for AUC, and PPV findings were inconsistent. Substantial heterogeneity was present across outcomes (I2 = 100%). Most studies relied on internal validation, and PROBAST identified high risk of bias in the analysis domain in over half. Conclusions: AI-based models may enhance threshold-dependent performance metrics, supporting their use as adjunctive decision-support tools for early triage and case exclusion, while external validation and implementation-focused research remain essential.

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Publication Details

Journal
Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
Published
2026-04-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/make8040093
Primary Topic
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Comparative Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence Versus Conventional Approaches for Early Detection of Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, with Evidence Predominantly from Dengue Studies

Vincenza Gianfredi, Vincenzo Baldo, Claudia Cozzolino, Flavia Pennisi et al.
Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
article

Comparative Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence Versus Conventional Approaches for Early Detection of Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, with Evidence Predominantly from Dengue Studies

Vincenza Gianfredi, Vincenzo Baldo, Claudia Cozzolino, Flavia Pennisi, Andrea Cozza, Carlo Signorelli, Giovanni Rezza
article en

Abstract

Background: Early differentiation of mosquito-borne viral infections from other causes of acute febrile illness remains challenging, particularly in endemic and resource-limited settings. Artificial intelligence (AI) models have been proposed to improve early diagnosis, but their incremental value over conventional approaches is unclear. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of comparative studies evaluating AI/machine learning models versus conventional approaches (clinical assessment, laboratory-based pathways, or traditional statistical models) for early detection of mosquito-borne viral infections. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched through August 2025. Paired performance metrics were synthesized using fixed- and random-effects models. Outcomes included AUC, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST. Results: Thirteen studies met inclusion criteria. Under random-effects models, AI improved sensitivity (ES = 2.64, p = 0.028), specificity (ES = 5.55, p < 0.001), accuracy (ES = 3.19, p < 0.001), and NPV (ES = 13.84, p < 0.001). No consistent advantage was observed for AUC, and PPV findings were inconsistent. Substantial heterogeneity was present across outcomes (I2 = 100%). Most studies relied on internal validation, and PROBAST identified high risk of bias in the analysis domain in over half. Conclusions: AI-based models may enhance threshold-dependent performance metrics, supporting their use as adjunctive decision-support tools for early triage and case exclusion, while external validation and implementation-focused research remain essential.

Machine Learning and Knowledge ExtractionVol. 8(4)
University of Padua (IT), Vita-Salute San Raffaele University (IT), University of Pavia (IT)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 26%
Mosquito-borne diseases and control
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