A Novel Index for Equatorial Spread F Detection in Low Latitudes Using COSMIC Radio Occultation Data

Abstract Simulating ionospheric conditions, including their temporal and spatial variability, and predicting irregularities remain critical challenges for mitigating space weather effects, especially in low‐latitude regions. This paper introduces the Radio Occultation Rate of Change of Electron Density Index (RORCED), a novel altitude‐resolved index to detect Equatorial Spread F events. We leveraged Electron Density Profiles (EDPs) derived from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) Radio Occultation (RO) data. The method was validated using ionosonde data from Ilorin (Geographic: ; Geomagnetic: ) and Fortaleza (Geographic: 3.90°S, 38.4°W; Geomagnetic: 11.4°S) stations in the low‐latitude region. COSMIC RO data were analyzed when the maximum height of the F2 layer (hmF2) fell within a latitudes/longitudes spatial resolution. These locations were chosen for their data availability, which was used for validation. We used geomagnetically quiet‐time EDPs and established a detection threshold of cm −3 /km. The validation achieved an accuracy of 82% out of 1,330 samples. We compared the RORCED with the Rate of Change of Density Index (RODI) from Swarm satellites and the Rate of Change of Total Electron Content Index (ROTI) from GNSS observations over both low and equatorial regions. The comparisons demonstrated consistent plasma irregularity detection patterns, aligning with established methods. The method can also be applied to develop modeling and forecasting approaches in regions lacking ground‐based instrumentation, offering transformative potential for both scientific research and operational applications.

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Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Space Physics
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ja034677
Primary Topic
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
Type
article
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article

A Novel Index for Equatorial Spread F Detection in Low Latitudes Using COSMIC Radio Occultation Data

Benjamin Wisdom Joshua, Daniel Okoh, John Bosco Habarulema, Tshimangadzo Merline Matamba et al.
Journal of Geophysical Research Space Physics
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
article

A Novel Index for Equatorial Spread F Detection in Low Latitudes Using COSMIC Radio Occultation Data

Benjamin Wisdom Joshua, Daniel Okoh, John Bosco Habarulema, Tshimangadzo Merline Matamba, Mustapha Abbas, Yushau Muhammad Sulaiman
article en

Abstract

Abstract Simulating ionospheric conditions, including their temporal and spatial variability, and predicting irregularities remain critical challenges for mitigating space weather effects, especially in low‐latitude regions. This paper introduces the Radio Occultation Rate of Change of Electron Density Index (RORCED), a novel altitude‐resolved index to detect Equatorial Spread F events. We leveraged Electron Density Profiles (EDPs) derived from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) Radio Occultation (RO) data. The method was validated using ionosonde data from Ilorin (Geographic: ; Geomagnetic: ) and Fortaleza (Geographic: 3.90°S, 38.4°W; Geomagnetic: 11.4°S) stations in the low‐latitude region. COSMIC RO data were analyzed when the maximum height of the F2 layer (hmF2) fell within a latitudes/longitudes spatial resolution. These locations were chosen for their data availability, which was used for validation. We used geomagnetically quiet‐time EDPs and established a detection threshold of cm −3 /km. The validation achieved an accuracy of 82% out of 1,330 samples. We compared the RORCED with the Rate of Change of Density Index (RODI) from Swarm satellites and the Rate of Change of Total Electron Content Index (ROTI) from GNSS observations over both low and equatorial regions. The comparisons demonstrated consistent plasma irregularity detection patterns, aligning with established methods. The method can also be applied to develop modeling and forecasting approaches in regions lacking ground‐based instrumentation, offering transformative potential for both scientific research and operational applications.

Journal of Geophysical Research Space PhysicsVol. 131(4)
South African National Space Agency (ZA), Technical University of Kenya (KE), University of the Gambia (GM), Rhodes University (ZA), North-West University (ZA), African Institute of Science and Technology (NG), Abdullahi Fodio University of Science and Technology (NG)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
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