When Harry met Kelly: an overlooked result in the classical theory of optimal capital growth

Abstract A classic problem in finance is the question of how an investor should optimally allocate wealth over one risky and one risk-free asset. This article reconsiders this theory under the assumptions that (1) the investor’s objective is to maximize the intertemporal growth rate of their wealth, (2) that the investor can make portfolio adjustments only in discrete time, and (3) that the risky asset is defined in each period according to only its mean return and the standard deviation thereof. This problem has been resolved only for continuous time. Here, the discrete time strategy for optimal capital growth is resolved for two different methodologies, and it is shown that the continuous time model is recoverable as a limit version of each of the two discrete time models. Finally, both of the methodologies considered lead to the same first-order Taylor’s approximation formula, which always gives a more accurate approximation to the true optimal discrete time strategy than does the continuous time strategy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Annals of Finance
Published
2026-04-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-026-00477-0
Primary Topic
Economic theories and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

When Harry met Kelly: an overlooked result in the classical theory of optimal capital growth

Richard Watt
Annals of Finance
Economic theories and models
article

When Harry met Kelly: an overlooked result in the classical theory of optimal capital growth

Richard Watt
article en

Abstract

Abstract A classic problem in finance is the question of how an investor should optimally allocate wealth over one risky and one risk-free asset. This article reconsiders this theory under the assumptions that (1) the investor’s objective is to maximize the intertemporal growth rate of their wealth, (2) that the investor can make portfolio adjustments only in discrete time, and (3) that the risky asset is defined in each period according to only its mean return and the standard deviation thereof. This problem has been resolved only for continuous time. Here, the discrete time strategy for optimal capital growth is resolved for two different methodologies, and it is shown that the continuous time model is recoverable as a limit version of each of the two discrete time models. Finally, both of the methodologies considered lead to the same first-order Taylor’s approximation formula, which always gives a more accurate approximation to the true optimal discrete time strategy than does the continuous time strategy.

Annals of FinanceVol. 22(1)
University of Canterbury (NZ)
University of Central Florida, University of Canterbury
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 21%
Economic theories and models
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