Predicting Chickpea Yield Using Artificial Neural Networks with Explainable AI

Chickpea (Cicer arietinum L.) is a globally important legume crop whose grain yield is strongly influenced by environmental and agronomic variability. This study aimed to predict chickpea grain yield using artificial neural networks (ANNs) and to identify key traits associated with yield formation across different genotypes under semi-arid conditions. The dataset consisted of 96 chickpea genotypes evaluated over two growing seasons (2022–2023) in Sivas, Türkiye. The results demonstrated that reproductive traits, particularly seed weight per plant, number of pods per plant, and number of seeds per plant, were the most influential factors determining grain yield. Environmental variability also contributed significantly to yield prediction, highlighting the importance of genotype–environment interactions. The developed ANN model showed high predictive accuracy, indicating its robustness in capturing complex relationships among yield-related traits. Beyond prediction, the model provides biologically meaningful insights into trait prioritization, supporting its application in chickpea breeding programs. Overall, the findings suggest that ANN-based approaches can serve as effective decision-support tools in precision agriculture by enabling accurate yield estimation, facilitating the selection of high-performing genotypes, and identifying key breeding traits for sustainable crop improvement.

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Publication Details

Journal
Agronomy
Published
2026-04-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16070768
Primary Topic
Genetic and Environmental Crop Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Predicting Chickpea Yield Using Artificial Neural Networks with Explainable AI

Fazlı Yildirim, İlkay Yelmen, Tolga Karakoy, Metin Zontul
Agronomy
Genetic and Environmental Crop Studies
article

Predicting Chickpea Yield Using Artificial Neural Networks with Explainable AI

Fazlı Yildirim, İlkay Yelmen, Tolga Karakoy, Metin Zontul
article en

Abstract

Chickpea (Cicer arietinum L.) is a globally important legume crop whose grain yield is strongly influenced by environmental and agronomic variability. This study aimed to predict chickpea grain yield using artificial neural networks (ANNs) and to identify key traits associated with yield formation across different genotypes under semi-arid conditions. The dataset consisted of 96 chickpea genotypes evaluated over two growing seasons (2022–2023) in Sivas, Türkiye. The results demonstrated that reproductive traits, particularly seed weight per plant, number of pods per plant, and number of seeds per plant, were the most influential factors determining grain yield. Environmental variability also contributed significantly to yield prediction, highlighting the importance of genotype–environment interactions. The developed ANN model showed high predictive accuracy, indicating its robustness in capturing complex relationships among yield-related traits. Beyond prediction, the model provides biologically meaningful insights into trait prioritization, supporting its application in chickpea breeding programs. Overall, the findings suggest that ANN-based approaches can serve as effective decision-support tools in precision agriculture by enabling accurate yield estimation, facilitating the selection of high-performing genotypes, and identifying key breeding traits for sustainable crop improvement.

AgronomyVol. 16(7)
University of Science and Technology (YE), Sivas State Hospital (TR), Istinye University (TR), Sivas Bilim ve Teknoloji Üniversitesi (TR), Istanbul University (TR)
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 32%
Genetic and Environmental Crop Studies
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