RANDOMIZED TESTING FOR JUMP DETECTION

This article proposes sequential randomized tests to locate the presence of jumps on the paths of efficient asset prices in a continuous-time model. The randomized statistics are generated by artificially adding randomness to the robust approximations of the locally averaged returns of the efficient price. In the case of finite activity jumps, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the maximum of all the local statistics unaffected by jumps, which makes it feasible to control the limiting probability of the global type I error and demonstrate the power of the test. We also present the theoretical results to illustrate the behaviors of the test statistics in the presence of infinite activity jumps. Simulation studies indicate the favorable performance of the proposed test in finite samples, and we also apply the test to the stock price data of Apple and Microsoft.

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometric Theory
Published
2026-04-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0266466626100425
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

RANDOMIZED TESTING FOR JUMP DETECTION

Yucheng Sun
Econometric Theory
Sports Analytics and Performance
article

RANDOMIZED TESTING FOR JUMP DETECTION

Yucheng Sun
article en

Abstract

This article proposes sequential randomized tests to locate the presence of jumps on the paths of efficient asset prices in a continuous-time model. The randomized statistics are generated by artificially adding randomness to the robust approximations of the locally averaged returns of the efficient price. In the case of finite activity jumps, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the maximum of all the local statistics unaffected by jumps, which makes it feasible to control the limiting probability of the global type I error and demonstrate the power of the test. We also present the theoretical results to illustrate the behaviors of the test statistics in the presence of infinite activity jumps. Simulation studies indicate the favorable performance of the proposed test in finite samples, and we also apply the test to the stock price data of Apple and Microsoft.

Econometric Theory
Capital University of Economics and Business (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Sports Analytics and Performance
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