Species Distribution Modeling Reveals Future Climate Refugia and Important Areas for Rocky Plants in Brazil's Iron Quadrangle

exhibited transient gains under intermediate scenarios. Persistent suitability hotspots were concentrated along the Gandarela-Caraça axis, including areas such as Serra do Gandarela and the RPPN Horto Alegria, indicating climatically stable zones that may function as future refugia for edaphically specialized rocky-field species. Our results indicate that climate mitigation alone will likely be insufficient to safeguard rupestrian flora in the Iron Quadrangle. Proactive conservation strategies will be necessary, including strengthening ecological connectivity, establishing seed banks and germplasm collections, and planning assisted translocations. Additionally, we provide an interactive tool designed to translate model outputs into management-oriented products that can support decision-making and prioritize conservation interventions in key landscapes such as the Gandarela-Caraça corridor.