Collecting diverse near-optimal samples via nested Thompson sampling

Self-driving laboratories (SDLs) that combine automated experiments with machine learning have accelerated data-driven discovery. Although Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely used in SDLs to autonomously propose experimental conditions, many real systems require sampling diverse near-optimal candidates rather than identifying a single optimum. We propose nested Thompson sampling (NTS), a batch BO method that enhances diversity by incorporating the concept of nested sampling. In NTS, regions where the posterior exceeds a likelihood threshold are uniformly sampled, enabling exploration of multiple promising regions while requiring only one hyperparameter, that is, the threshold schedule. Benchmark studies using materials datasets demonstrated that NTS achieves higher sample diversity than a conventional batch BO method. Furthermore, the application of NTS to automated electrolyte exploration in an SDL successfully produced diverse experimental samples. The NTS algorithm is implemented in the NIMO package, providing a practical framework for autonomous and diverse materials exploration.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Computational Materials
Published
2026-04-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41524-026-02067-0
Primary Topic
Survey Sampling and Estimation Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Collecting diverse near-optimal samples via nested Thompson sampling

Ryosuke Shibukawa, Kazuha Nakamura, Koji Tsuda, Shoichi Matsuda et al.
npj Computational Materials
Survey Sampling and Estimation Techniques
article

Collecting diverse near-optimal samples via nested Thompson sampling

Ryosuke Shibukawa, Kazuha Nakamura, Koji Tsuda, Shoichi Matsuda, Ryo Tamura
article en

Abstract

Self-driving laboratories (SDLs) that combine automated experiments with machine learning have accelerated data-driven discovery. Although Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely used in SDLs to autonomously propose experimental conditions, many real systems require sampling diverse near-optimal candidates rather than identifying a single optimum. We propose nested Thompson sampling (NTS), a batch BO method that enhances diversity by incorporating the concept of nested sampling. In NTS, regions where the posterior exceeds a likelihood threshold are uniformly sampled, enabling exploration of multiple promising regions while requiring only one hyperparameter, that is, the threshold schedule. Benchmark studies using materials datasets demonstrated that NTS achieves higher sample diversity than a conventional batch BO method. Furthermore, the application of NTS to automated electrolyte exploration in an SDL successfully produced diverse experimental samples. The NTS algorithm is implemented in the NIMO package, providing a practical framework for autonomous and diverse materials exploration.

npj Computational Materials
National Institute for Materials Science (JP), RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project (JP), The University of Tokyo (JP)
Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Division of Materials Research, Core Research for Evolutional Science and Technology, Precursory Research for Embryonic Science and Technology
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Survey Sampling and Estimation Techniques
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