Literature Review of Catchment Models in Aotearoa New Zealand for Ecological and Social Climate Change Effects

Shifting climatic averages and extremes are affecting both environmental and anthropogenic communities. This is a growing concern, especially for social–ecological systems (SES) such as lakes and their catchments, which integrate ecological and societal subsystems. Models are frequently used for research and management of these SESs, although these tools may not be capable of simulating processes from both subsystems. We conducted a literature review to assess the ability of ten catchment models commonly applied in Aotearoa New Zealand to simulate broad climate change effects. Assessment criteria represented the ecological system (hydrology, sediment transport, contaminants) and social system (economics, cultural values) of lake catchments. All of the reviewed catchment models demonstrated capacity for simulating one or more ecological criteria, while only three addressed the economics criteria within the social system. Based on these findings, we discuss model trade‐offs and highlight options for more holistically incorporating the social system into models of SESs. Advancing the development and applications of such models will provide a basis for more integrated and effective management in the years to come.

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Publication Details

Journal
New Zealand Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research
Published
2026-04-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/nzm2.70031
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Type
article
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article

Literature Review of Catchment Models in Aotearoa New Zealand for Ecological and Social Climate Change Effects

Deniz Özkundakci, Margaret Armstrong
New Zealand Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
article

Literature Review of Catchment Models in Aotearoa New Zealand for Ecological and Social Climate Change Effects

Deniz Özkundakci, Margaret Armstrong
article en

Abstract

Shifting climatic averages and extremes are affecting both environmental and anthropogenic communities. This is a growing concern, especially for social–ecological systems (SES) such as lakes and their catchments, which integrate ecological and societal subsystems. Models are frequently used for research and management of these SESs, although these tools may not be capable of simulating processes from both subsystems. We conducted a literature review to assess the ability of ten catchment models commonly applied in Aotearoa New Zealand to simulate broad climate change effects. Assessment criteria represented the ecological system (hydrology, sediment transport, contaminants) and social system (economics, cultural values) of lake catchments. All of the reviewed catchment models demonstrated capacity for simulating one or more ecological criteria, while only three addressed the economics criteria within the social system. Based on these findings, we discuss model trade‐offs and highlight options for more holistically incorporating the social system into models of SESs. Advancing the development and applications of such models will provide a basis for more integrated and effective management in the years to come.

New Zealand Journal of Marine and Freshwater ResearchVol. 60(2)
University of Waikato (NZ)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 23%
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
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