Transformation of Natural-Technical Systems at the Initial Stage of the Syllakh Coal Deposit Development

A preliminary assessment of the transformation of the natural-technical system “Coal Complex – Natural Environment” was conducted for planning the development of the Syllakh coal deposit in South Yakutia. The assessment aimed to determine both the potential resilience of natural landscapes to anthropogenic pressure and the current state of technogenic disturbance. The methodology integrated landscape analysis, a score-based assessment of permafrost landscape resilience, and GIS techniques, including satellite imagery analysis. The potential landscape resilience was evaluated based on a combination of permafrost and bioclimatic indicators specific to each landscape. Remote sensing data analysis and the subsequent mapping of anthropogenic disturbance revealed a nonlinear relationship between the observed disturbance patterns and the assessed potential resilience. This finding suggests that the spatial distribution of the anthropogenic impact is driven primarily by infrastructural and techno-economic factors rather than the inherent resilience of the landscapes.