Abstract 6832: Toward personalized rotational multi-agent therapies to overcome treatment resistance in pancreatic cancer: A virtual trial framework in mice.

Abstract Introduction. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is highly lethal in part because tumors rapidly evolve resistance to potent regimens. Rotational, multi-agent schedules have emerged as a promising approach to outpace this adaptive escape. To attack this problem, we propose a mechanistic “virtual-trial” framework that couples an ordinary differential equation model with patient-specific data to quantify responses to three first-line chemotherapies (cisplatin, paclitaxel, gemcitabine), stromal-modulating agents (calcipotriol, losartan), and an immune-checkpoint inhibitor (anti-PD-L1). Using an estimated dynamic resistance, our model provides an in-silico testbed for generating and ranking rotational-therapy hypotheses before clinical translation, supporting more adaptive treatment design for pancreatic cancer. Methods. Longitudinal tumor volume measurements for five distinct combinations of therapy agents were acquired in 49 mice over 14 days. Our mathematical model captures key physiological features such as tumor proliferation, drug efficacy, and temporal treatment resistance to emulate the progression and regression of pancreatic tumors to predict variation in tumor growth. Bayesian calibration of model parameters is derived on data from in vivo experiments conducted on mice with a genetically engineered model (GEM) of pancreatic cancer (KPC). We use adaptive optimization to develop personalized rotational therapy regimes across a 2-week simulation of 1000 patients. Results. The model successfully mimics tumor growth in both control and treatment cases, with an average concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) of 0.99 ± 0.01 when comparing observed and predicted changes in tumor volumes. We extend our analysis by conducting leave-one-out predictions (average CCC = 0.7 ± 0.06), mouse-specific predictions (average CCC = 0.75 ± 0.02), and group-informed, mouse-specific predictions (CCC = 0.85 ± 0.04). Group-informed, mouse-specific predictions show an 82.17 ± 15.07% accuracy in discerning responders from non-responders. Our optimization predicts that switching to a personalized, adaptive schedule would cut median tumor burden by 30.5% and shrink final tumor volume by a median 65.9% relative to any fixed protocol in simulated mice. Conclusion. Our modeling framework reproduces the experimental tumor-growth data and demonstrates strong predictive power for how pancreatic tumors respond to varied therapeutic combinations. By correctly classifying most responders versus non-responders and by forecasting sizable reductions in tumor burden with individually optimized rotational schedules, the approach offers a practical in-silico tool for designing adaptive treatment regimens. Our framework lays the groundwork for adaptive clinical trials poised to finally outmaneuver PDAC resistance and improve outcomes. Citation Format: Krithik Vishwanath, Hoon Choi, Mamta Gupta, Rong Zhou, Anna G. Sorace, Thomas E. Yankeelov, Ernesto A.B.F. Lima. Toward personalized rotational multi-agent therapies to overcome treatment resistance in pancreatic cancer: A virtual trial framework in mice [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 6832.

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Journal
Cancer Research
Published
2026-04-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1158/1538-7445.am2026-6832
Primary Topic
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
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article
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article

Abstract 6832: Toward personalized rotational multi-agent therapies to overcome treatment resistance in pancreatic cancer: A virtual trial framework in mice.

Anna G. Sorace, Mamta Gupta, Hoon Choi, Rong Zhou et al.
Cancer Research
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
article

Abstract 6832: Toward personalized rotational multi-agent therapies to overcome treatment resistance in pancreatic cancer: A virtual trial framework in mice.

Anna G. Sorace, Mamta Gupta, Hoon Choi, Rong Zhou, Krithik Vishwanath, E. A. Lima, Thomas E. Yankeelov
article en

Abstract

Abstract Introduction. Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is highly lethal in part because tumors rapidly evolve resistance to potent regimens. Rotational, multi-agent schedules have emerged as a promising approach to outpace this adaptive escape. To attack this problem, we propose a mechanistic “virtual-trial” framework that couples an ordinary differential equation model with patient-specific data to quantify responses to three first-line chemotherapies (cisplatin, paclitaxel, gemcitabine), stromal-modulating agents (calcipotriol, losartan), and an immune-checkpoint inhibitor (anti-PD-L1). Using an estimated dynamic resistance, our model provides an in-silico testbed for generating and ranking rotational-therapy hypotheses before clinical translation, supporting more adaptive treatment design for pancreatic cancer. Methods. Longitudinal tumor volume measurements for five distinct combinations of therapy agents were acquired in 49 mice over 14 days. Our mathematical model captures key physiological features such as tumor proliferation, drug efficacy, and temporal treatment resistance to emulate the progression and regression of pancreatic tumors to predict variation in tumor growth. Bayesian calibration of model parameters is derived on data from in vivo experiments conducted on mice with a genetically engineered model (GEM) of pancreatic cancer (KPC). We use adaptive optimization to develop personalized rotational therapy regimes across a 2-week simulation of 1000 patients. Results. The model successfully mimics tumor growth in both control and treatment cases, with an average concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) of 0.99 ± 0.01 when comparing observed and predicted changes in tumor volumes. We extend our analysis by conducting leave-one-out predictions (average CCC = 0.7 ± 0.06), mouse-specific predictions (average CCC = 0.75 ± 0.02), and group-informed, mouse-specific predictions (CCC = 0.85 ± 0.04). Group-informed, mouse-specific predictions show an 82.17 ± 15.07% accuracy in discerning responders from non-responders. Our optimization predicts that switching to a personalized, adaptive schedule would cut median tumor burden by 30.5% and shrink final tumor volume by a median 65.9% relative to any fixed protocol in simulated mice. Conclusion. Our modeling framework reproduces the experimental tumor-growth data and demonstrates strong predictive power for how pancreatic tumors respond to varied therapeutic combinations. By correctly classifying most responders versus non-responders and by forecasting sizable reductions in tumor burden with individually optimized rotational schedules, the approach offers a practical in-silico tool for designing adaptive treatment regimens. Our framework lays the groundwork for adaptive clinical trials poised to finally outmaneuver PDAC resistance and improve outcomes. Citation Format: Krithik Vishwanath, Hoon Choi, Mamta Gupta, Rong Zhou, Anna G. Sorace, Thomas E. Yankeelov, Ernesto A.B.F. Lima. Toward personalized rotational multi-agent therapies to overcome treatment resistance in pancreatic cancer: A virtual trial framework in mice [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2026; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2026 Apr 17-22; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(7 Suppl):Abstract nr 6832.

Cancer ResearchVol. 86(7_Supplement)
University of Alabama at Birmingham (US), University of Pennsylvania (US), The University of Texas at Austin (US)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Mathematical Biology Tumor Growth
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