Foundation‐Scale Satellite Embeddings Reframe Hydrological Generalization as a Representation Problem

Abstract A persistent challenge in hydrological modeling is reliably transferring predictive skill across time and among basins that appear distinct based on conventional static attributes. Here we address this challenge by leveraging Google's newly released data set generated from the AlphaEarth Foundations model, providing 64‐dimensional satellite embeddings (SE) that encode dynamic surface characteristics. Evaluated over 455 Australian catchments (2017–2022), SE‐enhanced models consistently outperform static‐attribute baselines. Temporal gains are most pronounced in regions under intense human disturbance, where median relative error reduction (RER) reaches 11.5%, reflecting reduced mismatch between static representations and evolving land‐surface states. Overcoming the fragmentation caused by discrete static attributes, SE reshapes the feature space into a continuous, globally connected representation, yielding a median RER of 32.1% for the most isolated basins. These results indicate that foundation‐scale embeddings fundamentally shift hydrological generalization from parameter transfer toward representation learning, offering a new pathway for robust prediction under nonstationary conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-04-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl121604
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Foundation‐Scale Satellite Embeddings Reframe Hydrological Generalization as a Representation Problem

Zhigang Ou
Geophysical Research Letters
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
article

Foundation‐Scale Satellite Embeddings Reframe Hydrological Generalization as a Representation Problem

Zhigang Ou
article en

Abstract

Abstract A persistent challenge in hydrological modeling is reliably transferring predictive skill across time and among basins that appear distinct based on conventional static attributes. Here we address this challenge by leveraging Google's newly released data set generated from the AlphaEarth Foundations model, providing 64‐dimensional satellite embeddings (SE) that encode dynamic surface characteristics. Evaluated over 455 Australian catchments (2017–2022), SE‐enhanced models consistently outperform static‐attribute baselines. Temporal gains are most pronounced in regions under intense human disturbance, where median relative error reduction (RER) reaches 11.5%, reflecting reduced mismatch between static representations and evolving land‐surface states. Overcoming the fragmentation caused by discrete static attributes, SE reshapes the feature space into a continuous, globally connected representation, yielding a median RER of 32.1% for the most isolated basins. These results indicate that foundation‐scale embeddings fundamentally shift hydrological generalization from parameter transfer toward representation learning, offering a new pathway for robust prediction under nonstationary conditions.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(7)
Southern University of Science and Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 34%
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
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Foundation‐Scale Satellite Embeddings Reframe Hydrological Generalization as a Representation Problem — Zhigang Ou · Geophysical Research Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS