Coupling Coordination and Driving Mechanisms Between Digital Productivity and High-Quality Development of the Energy Industry: Evidence from Guizhou, China

In the context of the global dual-carbon goals and China’s DP strategy, strengthening the coupling between digital productivity (DP) and the high-quality development of the energy industry (HQDEI) is essential for resource-based regions. Doing so can help these regions overcome transition constraints and advance green, low-carbon development. Using panel data for nine prefecture-level cities in Guizhou Province from 2014 to 2023, we construct composite indices for DP and HQDEI with an improved entropy-weight TOPSIS approach. We then characterize their spatiotemporal evolution using a coupling coordination degree (CCD) model and kernel density estimation. Finally, we examine the determinants of coupling coordination through panel regression and threshold models. The results show that: (1) The CCD between DP and HQDEI efficiency continues to increase, with regional differences displaying a periodic convergence–divergence pattern and a spatial structure characterized by core agglomeration and outward diffusion. Gradient disparities in coordinated development are evident between central and peripheral areas. (2) Consumption upgrading and fiscal self-sufficiency significantly promote CC, whereas a traditional resource-dependent growth model significantly suppresses it. Constrained by short-term adaptation and integration costs, digital innovation currently exerts a negative effect, and its enabling potential has not yet been fully realized. (3) Nonlinear tests identify a single digital-infrastructure threshold: the enabling effect of digital innovation turns positive only once infrastructure surpasses a critical level, revealing pronounced interval heterogeneity. This study advances the theoretical understanding of the bidirectional coupling between DP and HQDEI, provides empirical guidance for energy digital transformation and high-quality development in resource-based regions of western China, and offers transferable insights for green, low-carbon transitions in traditional energy regions worldwide.