The optimization and load forecasting of power distribution units in data halls

This study develops an artifact that improves monitoring efficiency and forecasts monthly Total Load (KW) for the X data hall. The manual Power Distribution Unit (PDU) monitoring process was mapped using an As-Is value stream map, yielding a cycle time of 190 minutes and a lead time of 220 minutes. A To-Be automated monitoring design reduces the expected cycle time to 90 minutes and lead time to 120 minutes, supported by sampling checks for data integrity. Forecasting couples SARIMAX with an Artificial Intelligence (AI) residual learner. Using 36 months of observations (Oct 2021 to Sep 2024), SARIMAX captures linear dynamics, annual seasonality, and exogenous drivers from ambient temperature, cooling degree days (18°C baseline), and heatwave and maintenance flags. Support vector regression then models nonlinear residual structure. Evaluation showed stable accuracy with holdout MAPE of 2.11% and rolling-origin MAPE of 3.03%. The refit hybrid model generated two-year forecasts and scenario sensitivity outputs to support capacity planning and load balancing. A Power BI dashboard integrates PDU readings, forecasts, and anomaly context for robust decision support. Limitations include monthly granularity and modest sample size; future work should use higher-frequency telemetry and probabilistic uncertainty calibration. An indicative economic evaluation shows that the proposed automation can achieve a payback below one year under conservative energy saving assumptions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied Operations and Analytics
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/29966892.2026.2649444
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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The optimization and load forecasting of power distribution units in data halls

Samer Abaddi
Applied Operations and Analytics
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

The optimization and load forecasting of power distribution units in data halls

Samer Abaddi
article en

Abstract

This study develops an artifact that improves monitoring efficiency and forecasts monthly Total Load (KW) for the X data hall. The manual Power Distribution Unit (PDU) monitoring process was mapped using an As-Is value stream map, yielding a cycle time of 190 minutes and a lead time of 220 minutes. A To-Be automated monitoring design reduces the expected cycle time to 90 minutes and lead time to 120 minutes, supported by sampling checks for data integrity. Forecasting couples SARIMAX with an Artificial Intelligence (AI) residual learner. Using 36 months of observations (Oct 2021 to Sep 2024), SARIMAX captures linear dynamics, annual seasonality, and exogenous drivers from ambient temperature, cooling degree days (18°C baseline), and heatwave and maintenance flags. Support vector regression then models nonlinear residual structure. Evaluation showed stable accuracy with holdout MAPE of 2.11% and rolling-origin MAPE of 3.03%. The refit hybrid model generated two-year forecasts and scenario sensitivity outputs to support capacity planning and load balancing. A Power BI dashboard integrates PDU readings, forecasts, and anomaly context for robust decision support. Limitations include monthly granularity and modest sample size; future work should use higher-frequency telemetry and probabilistic uncertainty calibration. An indicative economic evaluation shows that the proposed automation can achieve a payback below one year under conservative energy saving assumptions.

Applied Operations and AnalyticsVol. 2(1)
Identity (US)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 35%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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The optimization and load forecasting of power distribution units in data halls — Samer Abaddi · Applied Operations and Analytics (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS