Ego vehicle trajectory prediction based on driver-vehicle coupling characteristics in diverse urban scenarios

For human-machine co-driving vehicles, the dynamic complexity of urban scenarios and the uncertainty of driving behavior impose stringent demands on the accuracy and generalization capability of ego vehicle trajectory prediction. Current research predominantly relies on multi-vehicle interaction information or single-scenario settings, overlooking the inherent dynamic correlation between driver and vehicle. This results in prediction models struggle to adapt to complex urban environments. To address this, this paper proposes a trajectory prediction framework based on driver-vehicle coupling feature encoding, enabling precise capture of vehicle trajectory evolution patterns under driver manipulation across diverse urban scenarios. The framework employs bidirectional LSTMs to perform temporal encoding on historical driver-vehicle coupling features and future road geometric features. Combined with an attention mechanism, it generates context vectors integrating temporal features and manipulation details, ultimately using LSTMs to recursively produce multi-step prediction results. Validation using diverse urban scenarios data from a dynamic driving simulator demonstrates that our prediction framework achieves precise trajectory prediction in typical scenarios such as lane changing, turning, and roundabout navigation, while exhibiting robust stability and generalization capabilities. 

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.26599/jicv.2026.9210082
Primary Topic
Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Ego vehicle trajectory prediction based on driver-vehicle coupling characteristics in diverse urban scenarios

Zhenhai Gao, Min Hua, Tianjun Sun, Xinyu Wang et al.
Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles
Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety
article

Ego vehicle trajectory prediction based on driver-vehicle coupling characteristics in diverse urban scenarios

Zhenhai Gao, Min Hua, Tianjun Sun, Xinyu Wang, Guoying Chen, Zheng Gao
article en

Abstract

For human-machine co-driving vehicles, the dynamic complexity of urban scenarios and the uncertainty of driving behavior impose stringent demands on the accuracy and generalization capability of ego vehicle trajectory prediction. Current research predominantly relies on multi-vehicle interaction information or single-scenario settings, overlooking the inherent dynamic correlation between driver and vehicle. This results in prediction models struggle to adapt to complex urban environments. To address this, this paper proposes a trajectory prediction framework based on driver-vehicle coupling feature encoding, enabling precise capture of vehicle trajectory evolution patterns under driver manipulation across diverse urban scenarios. The framework employs bidirectional LSTMs to perform temporal encoding on historical driver-vehicle coupling features and future road geometric features. Combined with an attention mechanism, it generates context vectors integrating temporal features and manipulation details, ultimately using LSTMs to recursively produce multi-step prediction results. Validation using diverse urban scenarios data from a dynamic driving simulator demonstrates that our prediction framework achieves precise trajectory prediction in typical scenarios such as lane changing, turning, and roundabout navigation, while exhibiting robust stability and generalization capabilities. 

Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Department of Science and Technology of Jilin Province, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety
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Ego vehicle trajectory prediction based on driver-vehicle coupling characteristics in diverse urban scenarios — Zhenhai Gao, Min Hua, et al. · Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS