Evaluation of AI‐Based Medical Device Concerning Localization Information Using Nonparametric Inference for the Alternative Free‐Response ROC Curve

The alternative free-response receiver operating characteristic (AFROC) curve is a popular method for evaluating the performance of diagnostic tests concerning detecting and locating abnormal lesions. However, the existing inferences for the AFROC curve rely on the assumptions of the independence of the observations within the same subject and certain parametric models, which are hard to test and may not be true in practice. In this article, we propose nonparametric inferences for the AFROC curve. Under reasonable assumptions, we derive the asymptotic properties for the empirical AFROC curve and use them to make inferences about the AFROC curve and its related indices. We propose a new bootstrap method to construct the confidence intervals of the indices related to the AFROC curve and the confidence band for the AFROC curve. Simulations show that our method significantly outperforms the existing parametric approach when its assumptions are violated. We also provide a real-world example, that is, a diagnostic test investigating AI-assisted pulmonary nodule diagnosis, to illustrate the practical applicability of our method.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistics in Medicine
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.70502
Primary Topic
COVID-19 diagnosis using AI
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Evaluation of AI‐Based Medical Device Concerning Localization Information Using Nonparametric Inference for the Alternative Free‐Response ROC Curve

Kaiyuan Liu, Xiao‐Hua Zhou
Statistics in Medicine
COVID-19 diagnosis using AI
article

Evaluation of AI‐Based Medical Device Concerning Localization Information Using Nonparametric Inference for the Alternative Free‐Response ROC Curve

Kaiyuan Liu, Xiao‐Hua Zhou
article en

Abstract

The alternative free-response receiver operating characteristic (AFROC) curve is a popular method for evaluating the performance of diagnostic tests concerning detecting and locating abnormal lesions. However, the existing inferences for the AFROC curve rely on the assumptions of the independence of the observations within the same subject and certain parametric models, which are hard to test and may not be true in practice. In this article, we propose nonparametric inferences for the AFROC curve. Under reasonable assumptions, we derive the asymptotic properties for the empirical AFROC curve and use them to make inferences about the AFROC curve and its related indices. We propose a new bootstrap method to construct the confidence intervals of the indices related to the AFROC curve and the confidence band for the AFROC curve. Simulations show that our method significantly outperforms the existing parametric approach when its assumptions are violated. We also provide a real-world example, that is, a diagnostic test investigating AI-assisted pulmonary nodule diagnosis, to illustrate the practical applicability of our method.

Statistics in MedicineVol. 45(8-9)
Peking University (CN), Peking University International Hospital (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 29%
COVID-19 diagnosis using AI
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