On the economic prospects of non-Western migrants in Europe

Abstract Many European countries are concerned about the economic integration of low-skilled non-Western migrants. This study investigates skill disparities and their intergenerational persistence by employing a unique combination of Dutch survey and registry data linking math and language skills of parents and their children. We find that skills of non-Western migrants strongly converge towards those of natives; group differences in math and language are reduced by 60 to 70% over one generation. Ethnic externalities that may delay group convergence indefinitely appear not to be important. This suggests that the currently observed skill gaps of non-Western migrants in Europe are unlikely to persist for those migrants.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Population Economics
Published
2026-03-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-026-01167-x
Primary Topic
Culture, Economy, and Development Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

On the economic prospects of non-Western migrants in Europe

Stan Vermeulen, Dinand Webbink, Tijana Prokic-Breuer
Journal of Population Economics
Culture, Economy, and Development Studies
article

On the economic prospects of non-Western migrants in Europe

Stan Vermeulen, Dinand Webbink, Tijana Prokic-Breuer
article en

Abstract

Abstract Many European countries are concerned about the economic integration of low-skilled non-Western migrants. This study investigates skill disparities and their intergenerational persistence by employing a unique combination of Dutch survey and registry data linking math and language skills of parents and their children. We find that skills of non-Western migrants strongly converge towards those of natives; group differences in math and language are reduced by 60 to 70% over one generation. Ethnic externalities that may delay group convergence indefinitely appear not to be important. This suggests that the currently observed skill gaps of non-Western migrants in Europe are unlikely to persist for those migrants.

Journal of Population EconomicsVol. 39(2)
Tinbergen Institute (NL), Maastricht University (NL), Dutch Inspectorate of Education (NL)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 25%
Culture, Economy, and Development Studies
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