Predicting land use/land cover changes using CA-ANN model in the Gia Lam District, Hanoi City

Gia Lam is a district in the eastern part of Hanoi, Vietnam, undergoing rapid development and urbanization. Predicting land use/land cover changes is crucial for supporting policymakers in designing effective local development strategies. This study aims to forecast land use/land cover changes in Gia Lam District through 2028. Sentinel-2 optical satellite imagery serves as the primary data source, with the classification of five land use/land cover types at different times performed using the Random Forest (RF) algorithm, and forecast results generated using a Cellular Automata (CA) model combined with an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. The results indicate a significant expansion of built-up areas, projected to cover 68.92% of the natural area by 2028. On the contrary, the area under annual vegetation is expected to decline to just 7.71%. These findings provide valuable insights for researchers and land use planners.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geodesy and Cartography
Published
2026-03-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3846/gac.2026.22678
Primary Topic
Land Use and Ecosystem Services
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Predicting land use/land cover changes using CA-ANN model in the Gia Lam District, Hanoi City

Anh Tuan Pham, Thanh Tung Dang
Geodesy and Cartography
Land Use and Ecosystem Services
article

Predicting land use/land cover changes using CA-ANN model in the Gia Lam District, Hanoi City

Anh Tuan Pham, Thanh Tung Dang
article en

Abstract

Gia Lam is a district in the eastern part of Hanoi, Vietnam, undergoing rapid development and urbanization. Predicting land use/land cover changes is crucial for supporting policymakers in designing effective local development strategies. This study aims to forecast land use/land cover changes in Gia Lam District through 2028. Sentinel-2 optical satellite imagery serves as the primary data source, with the classification of five land use/land cover types at different times performed using the Random Forest (RF) algorithm, and forecast results generated using a Cellular Automata (CA) model combined with an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. The results indicate a significant expansion of built-up areas, projected to cover 68.92% of the natural area by 2028. On the contrary, the area under annual vegetation is expected to decline to just 7.71%. These findings provide valuable insights for researchers and land use planners.

Geodesy and CartographyVol. 52(1)
Department of Land and Natural Resources (US)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration, European Space Agency
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 28%
Land Use and Ecosystem Services
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