Reference dependence and lottery participation

Abstract We assume that lottery participants are poor relative to their target income. Reference dependence with loss aversion can render the marginal utility of income non‐monotonic in line with the Friedman–Savage hypothesis. As a result, lottery participation can be rationalized without invoking probability weighting. The theoretical implications align with recent empirical evidence on lottery spending.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economic Inquiry
Published
2026-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.70054
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Reference dependence and lottery participation

Robertas Zubrickas
Economic Inquiry
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
article

Reference dependence and lottery participation

Robertas Zubrickas
article en

Abstract

Abstract We assume that lottery participants are poor relative to their target income. Reference dependence with loss aversion can render the marginal utility of income non‐monotonic in line with the Friedman–Savage hypothesis. As a result, lottery participation can be rationalized without invoking probability weighting. The theoretical implications align with recent empirical evidence on lottery spending.

Economic Inquiry
Vilnius University (LT), University of Bath (GB)
No poverty
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
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Reference dependence and lottery participation — Robertas Zubrickas · Economic Inquiry (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS