Ecology and life history of baleen whales inform climate change vulnerabilities and priorities for future monitoring

Abstract Baleen whales are key consumers in marine habitats that serve as vectors of nutrients, but their populations have been slow to recover from past commercial whaling due to their low reproductive rates and ongoing anthropogenic threats. Climate impacts have become central to the demography and habitat use of baleen whales, and conservation efforts must account for these impacts to be effective. However, knowledge of baleen whale climate responses is lacking, and current survey effort is insufficient to capture changes in migration and habitat use for many species. Due to their unique combination of ecological and life history characteristics, baleen whales are particularly vulnerable to climate change and their climate responses should be expected to differ fundamentally from those of other marine consumers. These characteristics include the need for both large quantities and high densities of prey, the need to accumulate large energy reserves seasonally, as well as highly migratory movements and the reliance on high-latitude foraging areas with narrow seasonal windows in resource availability. Climate responses in baleen whales may involve abrupt changes in foraging habitat in contrast to more gradual poleward shifts observed in other species, changes in the timing, extent or tendency for migration, and changes in energy accumulation or fitness. Recognizing that climate impacts may differ from other species is critical to measuring and anticipating changes to baleen whale populations in the face of ongoing climate change, and to effectively managing their populations in the future. North Atlantic right whales (Eubalena glacialis), arguably the best studied baleen whale species at a population scale, exemplify expectations for baleen whale climate responses and the implications for future management and conservation. Right whales have shown abrupt changes to traditional patterns of habitat use and migratory behavior, with major implications for the effectiveness of existing protections. Understanding and detecting baleen whale climate responses and effectively guiding management in the face of ongoing change will require increased survey effort and novel methods to survey remote habitats; improved knowledge of mechanisms of prey aggregation and climate impacts on these processes; and continued development and refinement of mechanistic models and dynamic management strategies.