Double cross-fit doubly robust estimators: Beyond series regression

Abstract Double cross-fit doubly robust (DCDR) estimators, which train nuisance function estimators on separate samples, are effective new estimators for causal functionals. We establish several novel theoretical results for them, building on recent work. We provide a structure-agnostic error analysis, which holds with generic nuisance functions and estimators. Then, we propose n-consistent DCDR estimators with undersmoothed local polynomial regression and k-Nearest Neighbours and a minimax rate-optimal DCDR estimator with undersmoothed kernel regression. Finally, we demonstrate inference is possible even in the non-root-n regime with a central limit theorem for an undersmoothed DCDR estimator. We reinforce our theoretical results with simulation experiments.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)
Published
2026-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssb/qkag057
Primary Topic
Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
Type
article
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article

Double cross-fit doubly robust estimators: Beyond series regression

Sivaraman Balakrishnan, E H Kennedy, Alec McClean, Larry Wasserman
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)
Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
article

Double cross-fit doubly robust estimators: Beyond series regression

Sivaraman Balakrishnan, E H Kennedy, Alec McClean, Larry Wasserman
article en

Abstract

Abstract Double cross-fit doubly robust (DCDR) estimators, which train nuisance function estimators on separate samples, are effective new estimators for causal functionals. We establish several novel theoretical results for them, building on recent work. We provide a structure-agnostic error analysis, which holds with generic nuisance functions and estimators. Then, we propose n-consistent DCDR estimators with undersmoothed local polynomial regression and k-Nearest Neighbours and a minimax rate-optimal DCDR estimator with undersmoothed kernel regression. Finally, we demonstrate inference is possible even in the non-root-n regime with a central limit theorem for an undersmoothed DCDR estimator. We reinforce our theoretical results with simulation experiments.

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine (Canada) (CA), Carnegie Mellon University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
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Double cross-fit doubly robust estimators: Beyond series regression — Sivaraman Balakrishnan, E H Kennedy, et al. · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS